Top Risk 2024
The report presents an annual forecast of the political risks that are most likely to play out over the course of 2024.
Economy
Exploring the interdependence of climate, finance, energy, and geopolitics: A conceptual framework for systemic risks amidst multiple crises
This study proposes a framework to analyze the dynamics and risk channels between the climate crisis, financial stability, the geopolitical energy crisis, and the energy transitions. The framework is presented in a step-by-step guide and applied in a study case in Germany.
Governing for Growth in a Time of Polycrisis
This article discusses how governments reconcile the demands of fiscal crisis management with the risk of losing voter support in the context of the polycrisis.
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Poverty, Prosperity, and Planet Report: Pathways Out of the Polycrisis
“This report offers the first post-pandemic assessment of global progress toward” the “interlinked goals” of “ending extreme poverty and boosting shared prosperity on a livable planet.” It “explores potential pathways out of today’s polycrisis – an environment where multiple and interconnected challenges are impacting the world simultaneously.” It finds that global “poverty reduction and improvements
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Impact 2024: How Donald Trump’s Reelection Could Amplify Global Inter-systemic Risk
The November 2024 federal election in the United States could mark an abrupt inflection point not only in the evolution of the American polity but also in the direction of global society. In this report, the Cascade Institute’s Polycrisis research team examines possible global systemic impacts of a second Trump presidency and maps the ways
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When one crisis comes after another: successive shocks, food insecurity, and coastal precarity in the Philippines
The authors examine the layering and succession of social and environmental crises—including a catastrophic typhoon, the COVID-19 pandemic, and economic inflation—and their impacts on food security in Capiz, Philippines. The authors investigate how these crises manifest in poor coastal communities and how vulnerable populations navigate such challenges.
Pluralist Economics in an Era of Polycrisis
The authors explore how young economists approach economic phenomena from pluralistic perspectives in the context of interconnected crises and existing uncertainties. They showcase various research methods and interdisciplinary approaches that reflect a shift in economic thought, recognizing the complexity and unpredictability of socioeconomic systems within the crisis context.
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Libraries in Response Session 103: “Polycrisis R Us!”
Libraries in Response, produced by the Gigabit Libraries Network, is a webinar series focusing on how libraries are responding to health, social, economic, political, and climate crises. In this episode, Drs. Michael Lawrence and Megan Shipman of the Cascade Institute discuss the polycrisis, explaining the origins and development of the term, why they think it’s
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A New Economy: Exploring the Root Causes of the Polycrisis and the Principles to Unlock a Sustainable Future
The report examines the systemic flaws of the current economic model, emphasizing ecological, social, and geoeconomic crises. It discusses the interconnected systemic flaws behind the crises and sets out guiding principles to reshape sustainability and accelerate the transition to a new economy.
The Polycrisis: Behind The Buzzword
This article discusses the emergence of the word ‘polycrisis’ in 2023, noting its rise to prominence at the 53rd World Economic Forum Annual Meeting, and seeks to underscore the gravity behind it. Larchman provides a primer, in which she defines polycrisis, in part, as “a cluster of interconnected crises in which ‘the overall impact exceeds
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