Polycrisis Resource Library

The Polycrisis Resource Library is a growing collection of media that help to understand polycrisis, develop strategies to address polycrisis, and build a field of polycrisis analysis.

The Polycrisis and Emerging-Market Resilience: Climate Shocks, Financial Volatility, and Geopolitical Fragmentation as Simultaneous Stressors – Building Adaptive Macroeconomic Frameworks for Compounding Risks

Hunter Hughes

This report examines how climate shocks, financial volatility, sovereign debt pressures, and geopolitical fragmentation interact to create compounding macroeconomic risks for emerging and developing economies. It argues that these interconnected…

Reframing Sustainability in an Age of Polycrisis: Economic Models, Indicators, and a New Integrated Baseline for EU Governance

Antonín Hořčica

The author examines how sustainability should be reframed in the context of polycrisis. Focusing on the European Union, the article compares green growth, ecological economics, and post-growth approaches and assesses…

Polycrisis Exploration Workshop

Jacqueline Whyte, Sigita Trainauskiene, Stefan Muench, Marta Malesinska, Greta Hauer, Tommi Asikainen and Yulia Barabanova

This guidance document provides detailed instructions on how to run the Joint Research Centre’s Polycrisis Exploration Workshop and use the resulting insights in policymaking. Based on the foresight study Risks…

War, Climate Change, and Mental Health: A Geopsychiatric Perspective on an Emerging Global Polycrisis

Julio Torales, Guillermo Sequera, Gladys Estigarribia, Iván Barrios, Tomás Caycho-Rodríguez, Antonio Ventriglio and João Maurício Castaldelli-Maia

This paper examines the interconnected effects of war, climate change, forced displacement, and humanitarian fragility on mental health through a geopsychiatric perspective. It conceptualises these interacting pressures as a climate-conflict…

No Place to Hide? Regional Resilience and Vulnerability to Global Catastrophic Risk

Florian Ulrich Jehn, Maximilian Rössler, Luke Kemp, Michael Cassidy, Zachary Kallenborn, Juan Bartolomé García Martínez, Lara Mani and Matt Boyd

The authors examine which locations are most resilient to global catastrophic risks, including nuclear war, near-Earth objects, major volcanic eruptions, large-scale cyberattacks, electromagnetic pulses, geomagnetic storms, and pandemics. They find…

Opportunities for Pathways Approaches for Adapting to Complex Climate Change Risks

Edward Sparkes, Olasunkanmi H. Okunola, Greta Dekker, Himanshu Shekhar, Saskia E. Werners and Michael Hagenlocher

The authors examine how adaptation pathways can be extended to address complex climate change risks arising from interactions among compounding hazards, cascading impacts, dynamic vulnerabilities, infrastructure interdependencies, and governance failures….

Six Major Risks in Modern Society: Research Progress and Future Directions

Qi Zhang, Yi Hu and Shouyang Wang

The authors review six major systemic risks facing modern societies: geopolitical risks, global meteorological disaster risks, regional environmental risks, global supply chain risks, systemic financial risks, and technology-mediated societal and…

Leaders Should Plan for Colliding Risks, Not Isolated Crises. Here’s Why

Robert Muggah

This article argues that businesses must move beyond managing individual threats and prepare for the cascading, compounding, and colliding effects of interconnected global risks. It highlights geopolitics, climate change, and…

Global Catastrophic Risk from Lower Magnitude Volcanic Eruptions

Lara Mani, Asaf Tzachor and Paul Cole

The authors argue that moderate volcanic eruptions might have cascading, catastrophic effects. They identify seven global “pinch points” where volcanic hazards intersect with concentrated systems such as shipping routes, air…

Reforming Global Health for an Age of Mistrust, Fragmentation and Overlapping Crises

Arush Lal, Luchuo Engelbert Bain, Nelson Aghogho Evaborhene, Sharon Friel, Joanne Liu, Magda Robalo and Benjamin Mason Meier

The authors argue that global health architecture must be reformed to respond more effectively to an era of polycrisis. They propose three interlinked priorities: rebalancing power by strengthening country ownership,…

About the Resource Library

The Polycrisis Resource Library includes resources that:

  • Comment on the polycrisis as a concept and as a present global reality
  • Undertake similar analysis using different—but related—concepts
  • Analyze crisis interactions among multiple global systems

Though not exhaustive, the Library strives to present a diverse representation of views on different aspects of the polycrisis discussion, and will be updated as that discussion evolves. Search for resources with the keyword search bar, or by using the drop-down menus to filter for type of resource, global systems addressed, and key themes.

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