The July 2026 Global Risk Review identifies geopolitical escalation, climate extremes, digital misinformation, public health emergencies, and digital transformation as five key global risks. The report argues that these risks are increasingly reinforcing one another, creating a complex threat environment in which disruptions cascade across political, economic, social, and environmental systems. Through thematic analyses and […]
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This article argues that the Greater Horn of Africa is facing a looming polycrisis driven by the interaction of climate extremes, violent conflict, disease outbreaks, and rising food and fertiliser prices, compounded by weakening humanitarian capacity. The authors contend that these overlapping shocks are mutually reinforcing rather than additive, increasing the risk of famine, displacement,
This paper argues that the polycrisis exceeds the analytical capacity of traditional diplomatic institutions. The author contends that the ability to manage complexity has become an important source of geopolitical advantage, though the polycrisis has not replaced the older logics of expansion and dominance. The paper examines how artificial intelligence can strengthen the analytical and
This report examines the evolving impact of digital technologies on European democracy, arguing that platforms algorithmically privilege negative and conflictual content, fragmenting shared reality into what the authors term a “fantasy-industrial complex,” while foreign control of dominant digital infrastructure exposes democratic discourse to direct and indirect interference. The report presents recommendations from fostering alternative public
The author argues that a new polycrisis is emerging at the intersection of climate change and cybersecurity, as extreme weather, natural disasters, and cyberattacks increasingly occur simultaneously and amplify one another. Focusing on Asia and the Pacific, the article shows how climate-driven disruptions to critical infrastructure create openings for cybercrime, particularly during moments of emergency
How Do We Navigate Asia-Pacific’s Climate-Cyber Polycrisis? Read More »
This article explores how open science, artificial intelligence, geoinformatics, virtual reality, and augmented reality offer a transformative approach to addressing complex polycrisis challenges. Using a multifaceted methodology that includes a structured review, technology convergence assessment, and semantic network analysis, the authors examine how these technologies can contribute to resilient and adaptive solutions while identifying current
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This statement from the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists sets the Doomsday Clock at 85 seconds to midnight, the closest it has ever been, signaling an intensifying risk of global catastrophe. It highlights the convergence of escalating threats, including nuclear conflict, climate change, biotechnology risks, and unregulated artificial intelligence, all compounded by rising nationalism, autocracy,
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The Global Risks Report 2026 explores how a new competitive world order is reshaping global risks across domains. Over the next two years, geoeconomic confrontation is identified as the most severe risk, with economic and societal instability also rising sharply. Over a ten-year horizon, inequality emerges as the most interconnected long-term risk, while artificial intelligence shows the
Global Risks Report 2026: Geopolitical and Economic Risks Rise in New Age of Competition Read More »
This report identifies ten critical issues expected to shape the EU’s political agenda and global engagement in 2026. It highlights growing geopolitical tensions, the accelerating impact of artificial intelligence, mounting climate and energy pressures, and increasing strain on democratic institutions. Other key concerns include migration, economic fragmentation, demographic decline, and the sustainability of health systems.
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The report presents Eurasia Group’s annual forecast of the political risks most likely to play out over the course of 2026. It outlines ten key global developments expected to shape the geopolitical landscape, including state-level conflicts, technological disruption, institutional challenges, and economic pressures. The analysis frames 2026 as a potential tipping point, marked by heightened
