The authors analyze underlying drivers of the Permacrisis, explaining how current trends could exacerbate the situation. They propose strategies to transform vicious cycles into virtuous ones.
Permacrisis: A Plan to Fix a Fractured World Read More »
This report summarizes what is known about the risks associated with six threats and hazards: artificial intelligence, asteroid and comet impacts, sudden and severe changes to Earth’s climate, nuclear war, severe pandemics, and supervolcanoes.
Global Catastrophic Risk Assessment Read More »
This study proposes a framework to analyze the dynamics and risk channels between the climate crisis, financial stability, the geopolitical energy crisis, and the energy transitions. The framework is presented in a step-by-step guide and applied in a study case in Germany.
The authors examine global catastrophic risks, prioritizing those with the highest cascade potential. Through a horizon scan, they identify 15 key risks, highlighting themes like cascading failures, threat interactions, flawed methodologies, and sociopolitical contexts. They propose strategies for prevention, mitigation, and adaptation.
A Horizon Scan of Global Catastrophic Risks Read More »
The Future Risks Report explores the emerging risks we may face in the future. The report highlights the growing complexity of managing risks, making decisions, and tackling challenges in a world marked by rapid technological advances and increasingly interconnected risks, from geopolitics to security to misinformation.
AXA Future Risks Report 2024 Read More »
In the Cascading Risks Study, author Trond Undheim seeks to create five scenarios (Climate cataclysm by 2075; World war by 2075; Growth and collapse by 2075; Runaway AI by 2075; and Synthetic biology released in the wild by 2075 ) with which to spur deeper conversation about the existential risks to humanity and how they
Scenarios 2075: The Cascading Risks Study Read More »
The authors examine involuntary migration and its associated global risks. They introduce the GRiNLoc-GpESTE tool to analyze the interconnectedness of factors driving migration, such as conflicts, natural disasters, climate change, and economic limitations. The study urges policymakers to address these risks with a cross-cutting approach, recognizing the potential for polycrisis.
Global Risks Related to Involuntary Migration Read More »
The 2024 Planetary Health Check report reveals that six of the nine Planetary Boundary processes have exceeded safe levels, with all six showing increasing pressure across control variables, indicating further boundary transgressions in the near future.
Planetary Health Check Report 2024 Read More »
The Swiss Re Institute, the research arm of Swiss Re Reinsurance, harnesses their risk knowledge in re/insurance to produce data driven research with partner organizations, shared via publications such as SONAR. SONAR is an annual publication that focuses on outlining emerging risks based on early signals gathered throughout the year. The 2024 SONAR report features
SONAR 2024: New Emerging Risk Insights Read More »
The report examines the systemic flaws of the current economic model, emphasizing ecological, social, and geoeconomic crises. It discusses the interconnected systemic flaws behind the crises and sets out guiding principles to reshape sustainability and accelerate the transition to a new economy.
