The authors examine global catastrophic risks, prioritizing those with the highest cascade potential. Through a horizon scan, they identify 15 key risks, highlighting themes like cascading failures, threat interactions, flawed methodologies, and sociopolitical contexts. They propose strategies for prevention, mitigation, and adaptation.
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The Future Risks Report explores the emerging risks we may face in the future. The report highlights the growing complexity of managing risks, making decisions, and tackling challenges in a world marked by rapid technological advances and increasingly interconnected risks, from geopolitics to security to misinformation.
AXA Future Risks Report 2024 Read More »
In the Cascading Risks Study, author Trond Undheim seeks to create five scenarios (Climate cataclysm by 2075; World war by 2075; Growth and collapse by 2075; Runaway AI by 2075; and Synthetic biology released in the wild by 2075 ) with which to spur deeper conversation about the existential risks to humanity and how they
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The authors examine involuntary migration and its associated global risks. They introduce the GRiNLoc-GpESTE tool to analyze the interconnectedness of factors driving migration, such as conflicts, natural disasters, climate change, and economic limitations. The study urges policymakers to address these risks with a cross-cutting approach, recognizing the potential for polycrisis.
Global Risks Related to Involuntary Migration Read More »
The 2024 Planetary Health Check report reveals that six of the nine Planetary Boundary processes have exceeded safe levels, with all six showing increasing pressure across control variables, indicating further boundary transgressions in the near future.
Planetary Health Check Report 2024 Read More »
The Swiss Re Institute, the research arm of Swiss Re Reinsurance, harnesses their risk knowledge in re/insurance to produce data driven research with partner organizations, shared via publications such as SONAR. SONAR is an annual publication that focuses on outlining emerging risks based on early signals gathered throughout the year. The 2024 SONAR report features
SONAR 2024: New Emerging Risk Insights Read More »
The report examines the systemic flaws of the current economic model, emphasizing ecological, social, and geoeconomic crises. It discusses the interconnected systemic flaws behind the crises and sets out guiding principles to reshape sustainability and accelerate the transition to a new economy.
Global Tipping Points is a report, led by the University of Exeter’s Global Systems Institute and funded by the Bezos Earth Fund, that identifies negative and positive tipping points with regards to ongoing global crises. According to the report, the existence of negative tipping points shows that the threats posed by the current crises we
Global Tipping Points Report 2023 Read More »
In this publication, the Accelerator for Systemic Risk Assessment presents the Principles for Systemic Risk Assessment and Response. Co-developed with a diverse network of experts, these principles aim to redefine our understanding of risk, accelerate awareness of the interconnected threats we face, and guide transformative action to safeguard Earth’s ecological systems and human well-being from
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In this article, the authors, inspired by the polycrisis, identify and explore potential 14 traps affecting humanity in the global human context, brought about by the trajectory of our increasing complexity and influence on the Earth system. These traps are then categorized as global, technological, or structural traps and then further assessed to produce statistical
Evolution of the Polycrisis: Anthropocene Traps that Challenge Global Sustainability Read More »
