Top Risks 2025
The report presents Eurasia Group’s annual forecast of the political risks that are most likely to emerge in 2025.
Social Order and Governance
Ten Issues to Watch in 2025
In its ninth edition, the European Parliamentary Research Service examines ten key issues likely to shape public debate and policy in the European Union throughout 2025. The issues analyzed include economic productivity, the 2040 climate target, economic security, investment capacity, the EU’s future finances, electric vehicles, competitiveness in artificial intelligence, European defence, migrant return policy,
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Chartbook 330: Africa & Absolute Poverty in an Era of Polycrisis.
Adam Tooze examines the stagnation in global poverty reduction, emphasizing the challenges of a polycrisis context. He highlights that, after significant declines, progress in reducing absolute poverty has stalled, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa, where the number of people living in absolute poverty has surged.
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Navigating the Polycrisis: MENA at a Crucial Crossroads
The author examines the concept of polycrisis, exploring how multiple crises in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA), including the “energy dilemma,” water scarcity, climate-induced migration, and persistent conflicts converge and exacerbate each other.
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Global Polycrisis can be Tackled by Institutional Innovation Towards Democratic Efficacy
Hanno Scholtz argues that the world’s polycrisis is caused by an outdated democratic model of “partitioning representation,” where citizens vote periodically and are represented by governments in global affairs. He proposes “Civil Democracy,” a new model that gives citizens and civil society more responsibility in decision-making, offering a path to solving global crises.
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Inequality and the Polycrisis
Jeremy Brecher examines how the era of neoliberal globalization, which initially facilitated economic growth in developing nations through global trade and investment, is now giving way to a polycrisis marked by escalating global inequality and poverty.
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Environmental-Political Collapse Accelerates
In this article, Richard Heinberg discusses why cascading disruptions of environmental and political systems are entangled and mutually reinforcing. He also attempts to identify the next stages of global collapse and explore options for individuals and communities to survive while minimizing harm and suffering.
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The Politics of Polycrisis
This book delves into the challenges and strategies for social democracy in Europe amid multiple, interconnected crises. It builds on discussions from the 10th Oxford Symposium and reflects on how progressive politics can navigate the complexity of today’s political and social landscape.
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Social Response to Polycrisis: The Case of Bulgaria
The book presents a collection of articles examining the interconnected crises impacting Bulgarian society from a psychological perspective, offering an in-depth analysis of societal reactions and coping mechanisms.
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2025 Emergency Watchlist- A World Out of Balance
The 2025 Emergency Watchlist, titled “A World Out of Balance,” describes how four deep-seated global imbalances reinforce one another to spark new crises, enable existing ones to spread, and undermine efforts to bring them under control. It highlights how more conflict but less diplomacy, more attacks on civilians but fewer consequences, more carbon emissions but
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