This report examines the evolving impact of digital technologies on European democracy, arguing that platforms algorithmically privilege negative and conflictual content, fragmenting shared reality into what the authors term a “fantasy-industrial complex,” while foreign control of dominant digital infrastructure exposes democratic discourse to direct and indirect interference. The report presents recommendations from fostering alternative public […]
This article argues that climate change, biodiversity loss, and social inequity form an interconnected polycrisis driven by shared underlying causes and mutually reinforcing dynamics. It shows how environmental degradation and social inequity interact across systems, with high-income populations contributing disproportionately to these crises while experiencing fewer of their impacts. The article emphasizes that addressing this
Beyond Climate: Sketching the Anatomy of our Polycrisis and Reflecting on Solutions Read More »
This commentary reviews fifteen continuing dynamics of the polycrisis and examines how they have changed over the past year. It argues that global instability is increasingly driven by the interaction of multiple reinforcing crises, including proliferating armed conflicts, escalating geopolitical rivalry, the breakdown of international cooperation, rising inequality, democratic backsliding, and intensifying climate disruption. The
Dynamics of Polycrisis 2.0 Read More »
The authors argue that today’s polycrisis, marked by climate change, inequality, and institutional fragility, echoes recurrent structural challenges seen throughout history. While most historical crises led to violence and collapse, a small number were successfully averted through transformative reforms. Drawing on these rare cases, the authors outline three critical policy lessons: reverse rising inequality to
Flattening the Curve on Societal Crisis: Lessons from History Read More »
In this presentation, David Miliband, President of the International Rescue Committee (IRC), highlights recommendations from the IRC’s 2026 Emergency Watchlist. He notes that near 240 million people are in humanitarian need, most concentrated in just 20 countries, and warns that today’s crises are increasingly internationalized, prolonged, and fueled by climate stress, conflict economies, and diplomatic
How can Crisis-affected Countries Survive in the ‘New World Disorder’? Read More »
This article presents Fair Observers’s 2026 geopolitical outlook using a Social, Political, Economic, Religious, and Military framework. The authors argue that overlapping global stresses, immigration pressures, democratic dysfunction, economic fragility, and strategic rivalry, are accelerating institutional erosion. The analysis outlines key global risk dynamics, including the rise of far-right movements in Europe, increasing state fragility,
Immigration, War, Economic Collapse: Will the Global Order Change in 2026? Read More »
The author explores how authoritarianism, imperialism, and global capitalism converge to deepen the planetary polycrisis, accelerating ecological breakdown and democratic erosion. Arguing that prevailing economic incentives favour perpetual war and environmental destruction, Fernandes asserts that international institutions have failed to address the structural drivers of crisis. The article calls for a reorientation of economic and
The Global Risks Report 2026 explores how a new competitive world order is reshaping global risks across domains. Over the next two years, geoeconomic confrontation is identified as the most severe risk, with economic and societal instability also rising sharply. Over a ten-year horizon, inequality emerges as the most interconnected long-term risk, while artificial intelligence shows the
Global Risks Report 2026: Geopolitical and Economic Risks Rise in New Age of Competition Read More »
This report addresses the escalating risk of “planetary insolvency,” a systemic breakdown driven by accelerating climate change and ecological destabilization. It highlights that global temperatures are rising faster than predicted, partly due to the loss of “aerosol cooling”—a hidden sunshade effect caused by air pollution that has offset approximately 0.5°C of warming. The report warns
Parasol Lost Report Read More »
The report presents Eurasia Group’s annual forecast of the political risks most likely to play out over the course of 2026. It outlines ten key global developments expected to shape the geopolitical landscape, including state-level conflicts, technological disruption, institutional challenges, and economic pressures. The analysis frames 2026 as a potential tipping point, marked by heightened
