In this article, Jürgen Scheffran explores the escalating global polycrisis arguing that current governance systems are failing to prevent catastrophic tipping points in the Earth system. He emphasizes the urgency of shifting from reactive measures to proactive strategies that foster “positive tipping points,” such as the rapid adoption of renewable energy and sustainable food systems. […]
Ways Out of the Polycrisis Read More »
The report presents an annual forecast of the political risks that are most likely to play out over the course of 2024.
On September 22, 2024 world leaders adopted a Pact for the Future. The Pact covers a broad range of issues, including peace and security, sustainable development, climate change, digital cooperation, human rights, gender, youth and future generations, and the transformation of global governance.
The Pact for the Future Read More »
This report summarizes what is known about the risks associated with six threats and hazards: artificial intelligence, asteroid and comet impacts, sudden and severe changes to Earth’s climate, nuclear war, severe pandemics, and supervolcanoes.
Global Catastrophic Risk Assessment Read More »
This study proposes a framework to analyze the dynamics and risk channels between the climate crisis, financial stability, the geopolitical energy crisis, and the energy transitions. The framework is presented in a step-by-step guide and applied in a study case in Germany.
In this article, Jaime Pastor discusses the current global geopolitical crisis exacerbated by the rise of extreme right movements globally, particularly following Trump’s electoral victory.
The authors explore the significant impact of disinformation on elections, emphasizing its potential to undermine democratic processes. Through case studies from Hungary, the United States, and the United Kingdom, they analyze how disinformation spreads, the conditions that facilitate its dissemination, and its detrimental effects on the health of democracies. The report delves into the historical
A Dangerous Confluence: The Intertwined Crises of Disinformation and Democracies Read More »
The book delves into the challenges and opportunities faced by the Global South in the context of Polycrisis. The book uses a multidisciplinary approach that combines theoretical studies with empirical case studies from Africa, Asia, and Latin America.
Polycrisis and Economic Development in the Global South Read More »
The Future Risks Report explores the emerging risks we may face in the future. The report highlights the growing complexity of managing risks, making decisions, and tackling challenges in a world marked by rapid technological advances and increasingly interconnected risks, from geopolitics to security to misinformation.
AXA Future Risks Report 2024 Read More »
In the Cascading Risks Study, author Trond Undheim seeks to create five scenarios (Climate cataclysm by 2075; World war by 2075; Growth and collapse by 2075; Runaway AI by 2075; and Synthetic biology released in the wild by 2075 ) with which to spur deeper conversation about the existential risks to humanity and how they
Scenarios 2075: The Cascading Risks Study Read More »
