International Organization Report

Rethinking Societal Resilience in a Time of Polycrisis

The authors presents key insights from a scoping review on societal resilience in the context of polycrisis. It emphasises that strengthening societal resilience in the polycrisis requires a clear understanding of how interdependent and causally entangled crises interact. This understanding can inform the development of targeted policies that address the underlying drivers of vulnerability and […]

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Managing Emerging Critical Risks : Case Studies and Cross-Country Synthesis Report

This report provides a synthesis of national approaches to managing emerging critical risks, drawing on case studies from Ireland, Israel, Korea, and the United States. Using a bespoke maturity model, it assesses how advanced each of the four OECD countries is across key dimensions of risk governance, highlighting strengths, gaps, and opportunities for improvement in

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From Polycrisis to Metacrisis: a short introduction

The authors explore the relationship between polycrisis and metacrisis, proposing a three-layer logic model to explain their connection. While polycrisis refers to the entanglement of interconnected global crises that intensify one another, metacrisis points to the foundational conditions that generate these crises. Just as symptoms indicate an underlying illness, polycrisis is seen as a manifestation

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World Economic Outlook : A Critical Juncture amid Policy Shifts

The April 2025 World Economic Outlook presents a global economy navigating a complex web of interrelated shocks and policy shifts. Following years of disruption, growth remains subdued and vulnerable to escalating trade tensions, particularly after the United States imposed near-universal tariffs, prompting widespread countermeasures. These developments have triggered systemic effects across trade, inflation, investment, and

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Interconnected Disaster Risks: Turning Over a New Leaf

The 2025 Interconnected Disaster Risks report, Turning Over a New Leaf, calls for transformative societal changes to address escalating global crises. It outlines five essential shifts: rethinking waste, realigning with nature, reconsidering responsibility, reimagining the future, and redefining value to prioritize planetary health over economic growth. The report introduces the Theory of Deep Change, advocating

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The Global Catastrophic Risk Index: Navigating Risk in an Uncertain Future

This second issue of the Global Governance Forum’s Global Catastrophic Risk Index (GCRI) examines the complexity of global risk and presents a clear picture of vulnerabilities across nations. The Index evaluates 163 countries using 109 indicators sourced from institutions such as the World Bank, IMF, and United Nations. It identifies the most at-risk countries as

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Humanitarian Aid in the Polycrisis: Local and Systems Thinking Approaches

This policy brief explores how the humanitarian sector must adapt to increasingly complex polycrisis . It presents key recommendations for reimagining humanitarian aid to prevent a slide into permacrisis, emphasizing the need to shift from reactive, centralized models to locally led, systems-based approaches. Central to this transformation is empowering local actors through meaningful leadership, dismantling

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Multipolarization – Munich Security Report 2025

This report presents the findings of the Munich Security Index 2025—an index of global risk perceptions in the G7 and “BICS” countries. It examines the implications of multipolarization in the international order, emphasizing that current trends indicate the negative effects of greater multipolarity are prevailing, as widening divisions among major powers and competing governance models

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Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction 2024. Resilience Pays: Investing and Financing for Our Future

The GAR 2025 report examines the likely future impacts of the world’s costliest hazards by 2050, considering different demographic trends, urbanization patterns, and climate scenarios. Drawing on new modelling tools and dozens of global examples, it warns that continued risk creation will outpace our ability to reduce it unless disaster risk reduction is embedded into

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