The report examines the systemic flaws of the current economic model, emphasizing ecological, social, and geoeconomic crises. It discusses the interconnected systemic flaws behind the crises and sets out guiding principles to reshape sustainability and accelerate the transition to a new economy.
Global Tipping Points is a report, led by the University of Exeter’s Global Systems Institute and funded by the Bezos Earth Fund, that identifies negative and positive tipping points with regards to ongoing global crises. According to the report, the existence of negative tipping points shows that the threats posed by the current crises we
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In this publication, the Accelerator for Systemic Risk Assessment presents the Principles for Systemic Risk Assessment and Response. Co-developed with a diverse network of experts, these principles aim to redefine our understanding of risk, accelerate awareness of the interconnected threats we face, and guide transformative action to safeguard Earth’s ecological systems and human well-being from
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In this article, the authors, inspired by the polycrisis, identify and explore potential 14 traps affecting humanity in the global human context, brought about by the trajectory of our increasing complexity and influence on the Earth system. These traps are then categorized as global, technological, or structural traps and then further assessed to produce statistical
Evolution of the Polycrisis: Anthropocene Traps that Challenge Global Sustainability Read More »
This report provides an overview of the main sources of catastrophic AI risk, organized into four categories: malicious use, AI race, organizational risk, and rogue AIs. It presents illustrative scenarios that demonstrate how these risks could lead to catastrophic outcomes or even pose existential threats. The report emphasizes that while the emerging risks of AI
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This edited volume argues that humanity has entered a fundamentally novel era of existential risk. These risks range from global-scale natural disasters (like volcanic super-eruptions) to anthropogenic environmental destabilization (like climate change and loss of biosphere integrity), and from calamities that spread rapidly around our highly networked planet (like viruses and cyber threats) to the
The Era of Global Risk: An Introduction to Existential Risk Studies Read More »
This report identifies hazards that, when combined with corresponding vulnerabilities and exposures, could lead to global and existential catastrophes. It aims to gather governance insights on risk cascades through a review of the literature, an expert survey, and consultations with experts.
The authors explore how to approach stress testing and stress scenario design in a world of polycrises and compound risks. The authors advocate for adopting “polyscenario” approaches that use multiple, interdisciplinary scenarios to capture the complexity and unpredictability of global risks.
Stress Testing in a World of Compound Risks and Polycrises Read More »
Zack Walsh argues that the current level of globalization, number of systemic risks, and continued depletion of the Earth’s resources will generate some sort of societal collapse. He details these systemic risks, defines polycrisis and existential risk, and discusses the distressing impacts of climate change on our global trajectory. “Current forecasts suggest that unless we
The authors explore how AI, while offering promising benefits in healthcare, also poses significant risks to human health and society. They examine three major threats from misused narrow AI: increased control and manipulation of individuals through surveillance and targeted information campaigns, the development and deployment of lethal autonomous weapons, and the displacement of human labor.
Threats by Artificial Intelligence to Human Health and Human Existence Read More »
