This study introduces a foresight approach to the analysis of future risks to support anticipatory decision-making. In participatory foresight processes, using horizon scanning outputs, it explores potential future developments and impacts of change within these futures and analyzes the risks and opportunities they may create. The study also presents a Delphi survey that evaluates the […]
Risks on the Horizon Read More »
Stephen Heintz explores the origins and development of the logic that shapes today’s international relations system, proposing a revised approach for the future. He applies this new logic to the current global political landscape and suggests changes to international institutions and mechanisms to better address the challenges of the 21st century.
A Logic for the Future: International Relations in the Age of Turbulence Read More »
The report examines the systemic flaws of the current economic model, emphasizing ecological, social, and geoeconomic crises. It discusses the interconnected systemic flaws behind the crises and sets out guiding principles to reshape sustainability and accelerate the transition to a new economy.
The author explores the interdisciplinary nature of systemic risks arising from economic, technological, sociopolitical, and ecological factors. He aims to establish a foundation for an integrated approach to systemic risks, highlighting the need to align risk factors and terminology to strengthen global resilience against cascading threats.
An interdisciplinary review of systemic risk factors leading up to existential risks Read More »
The report provides an in-depth analysis of the state of internal displacement worldwide, showing a 51% rise over the last five years, reaching 75.9 million people by the end of 2023. It highlights the increasing number of people displaced due to conflict, violence, and disasters, revealing how these crises are interconnected with broader social, economic,
2024 Global Report on Internal Displacement Read More »
This report examines the impact of the polycrisis on food and nutrition insecurity, particularly among vulnerable women and children. It reveals that, despite rising malnutrition, many countries successfully adapted and strengthened key systems such as food, health, and education to protect nutrition. The report highlights the role of community-based actions, digital technologies, and coordination platforms
This article discusses the emergence of the word ‘polycrisis’ in 2023, noting its rise to prominence at the 53rd World Economic Forum Annual Meeting, and seeks to underscore the gravity behind it. Larchman provides a primer, in which she defines polycrisis, in part, as “a cluster of interconnected crises in which ‘the overall impact exceeds
The Polycrisis: Behind The Buzzword Read More »
In this video, Michael Hainsworth, host of the C.D. Howe Institute podcast, interviews Martin Wolf, Chief Economic Commentator at the Financial Times and host of the podcast “Saving Democratic Capitalism”, in advance of a talk that Wolf gave to the Institute. Hainsworth and Wolf discuss ongoing crises that factor into the ongoing Polycrisis—defined as “a
Prospects for the World Economy in the Polycrisis with Martin Wolf Read More »
The authors analyze the institutional design variations in local crisis governance responses to the COVID-19 pandemic and their intersection with other significant local crises from a cross-country comparative perspective, focusing on France, Germany, Poland, Sweden, and the UK (England).
In this article, author Ivan Filippov discusses how think tanks can assist in navigating the polycrisis by outlining 5 potential roles for them to play, elaborating on each role, and providing real-world examples. The roles outlined by Filippov are as follows: a trusted voice/crisis navigator for the public; a research arm of civil society; a
Five New Roles for Think Tanks in the Age of Polycrisis Read More »
