Top Risk 2024
The report presents an annual forecast of the political risks that are most likely to play out over the course of 2024.
Geopolitics and International Security
The Pact for the Future
On September 22, 2024 world leaders adopted a Pact for the Future. The Pact covers a broad range of issues, including peace and security, sustainable development, climate change, digital cooperation, human rights, gender, youth and future generations, and the transformation of global governance.
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Global Catastrophic Risk Assessment
This report summarizes what is known about the risks associated with six threats and hazards: artificial intelligence, asteroid and comet impacts, sudden and severe changes to Earth’s climate, nuclear war, severe pandemics, and supervolcanoes.
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Exploring the interdependence of climate, finance, energy, and geopolitics: A conceptual framework for systemic risks amidst multiple crises
This study proposes a framework to analyze the dynamics and risk channels between the climate crisis, financial stability, the geopolitical energy crisis, and the energy transitions. The framework is presented in a step-by-step guide and applied in a study case in Germany.
Geopolitical Conflicts, Anti-imperialism and Internationalism in Times of “Reactionary Acceleration”
In this article, Jaime Pastor discusses the current global geopolitical crisis exacerbated by the rise of extreme right movements globally, particularly following Trump’s electoral victory.
Polycrisis and Economic Development in the Global South
The book delves into the challenges and opportunities faced by the Global South in the context of Polycrisis. The book uses a multidisciplinary approach that combines theoretical studies with empirical case studies from Africa, Asia, and Latin America.
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AXA Future Risks Report 2024
The Future Risks Report explores the emerging risks we may face in the future. The report highlights the growing complexity of managing risks, making decisions, and tackling challenges in a world marked by rapid technological advances and increasingly interconnected risks, from geopolitics to security to misinformation.
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Scenarios 2075: The Cascading Risks Study
In the Cascading Risks Study, author Trond Undheim seeks to create five scenarios (Climate cataclysm by 2075; World war by 2075; Growth and collapse by 2075; Runaway AI by 2075; and Synthetic biology released in the wild by 2075 ) with which to spur deeper conversation about the existential risks to humanity and how they
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Impact 2024: How Donald Trump’s Reelection Could Amplify Global Inter-systemic Risk
The November 2024 federal election in the United States could mark an abrupt inflection point not only in the evolution of the American polity but also in the direction of global society. In this report, the Cascade Institute’s Polycrisis research team examines possible global systemic impacts of a second Trump presidency and maps the ways
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FuturePod Interview with Drs. Megan Shipman and Michael Lawrence
In this episode of FuturePod, host Dr. Peter Hayward speaks with Drs. Megan Shipman and Michael Lawrence of the Cascade Institute about the current global polycrisis, and their recently published Positive Pathways report and accompanying workshop. Shipman, Lawrence, and Hayward discuss the four key factors proposed by Dr. Thomas Homer-Dixon that define today’s polycrisis, provide
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