Climate

Highlights from the Extreme Heat and Agriculture Report

This report explores the impact of extreme heat on agricultural producers and on crops, livestock, fisheries and aquaculture, and forests worldwide. Drawing on recent scientific evidence and country case studies, it highlights the independent and compound risks posed by extreme heat, underscores the urgency of mitigation, and presents pathways to strengthen resilience and sustainability across […]

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How Should the World Confront Climate Derailment Risks?

In this panel discussion, held at Chatham House, panellists James Dyke (University of Exeter), Emma Howard Boyd (London Climate Resilience Review), Thomas Homer-Dixon (Cascade Institute), and Kate Mackenzie (The Polycrisis) explored how escalating climate impacts could either reinforce climate action through virtuous feedback loops or derail it through vicious ones, particularly as the world continues

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Tackling the Complex Links Between Climate Change, Conflict, and Health

The authors underscore the urgent need to address the interconnected threats of climate change, conflict, and health. They highlight how these threats not only cause direct harm, such as heat-related deaths and conflict-driven mortality, but also compound vulnerabilities by damaging health systems, disrupting essential services, and fueling cycles of instability. Fragile and conflict-affected states are

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Climate Change and Systemic Risk: Evidence from Financial Intermediaries

The authors investigate the impact of climate-induced temperature shocks on systemic risk within the banking sector. Using a sample of 35 financial intermediaries across 13 countries and employing the ΔCoVaR methodology, the authors find that deviations from historical temperature averages are associated with heightened systemic risk, concluding that climate volatility threatens financial stability by amplifying

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Derailment Risk

This report presents a systematic effort to theorize what the authors call “derailment risk,” a vicious cycle in which escalating climate impacts and the disruptive consequences of green transitions undermine climate action. Drawing on twenty global workshops and hundreds of expert contributions, the project mapped how worsening disasters, resource diversion, and political backlash can derail

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2025 Global Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI): Overlapping Hardships: Poverty and Climate Hazards

The 2025 Global Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI) examines the intersection of poverty and climate hazards. It overlays data on climate hazards and multidimensional poverty to assess how exposed poor people are to climate shocks. The analysis reveals that nearly 80 percent of the 1.1 billion people living in acute poverty face at least one climate

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The Global Tipping Points Report 2025

The Global Tipping Points Report 2025 presents a comprehensive assessment of the escalating risks posed by irreversible changes in Earth’s systems due to human-driven climate and ecological pressures. With contributions from over 160 scientists across 87 institutions, the report identifies critical tipping points such as the collapse of coral reefs, thawing permafrost, and destabilization of

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Overshoot: Navigating a world beyond 1.5°C

In this four-part documentary series, Laurie Laybourn explores the significant challenges associated with exceeding the 1.5°C global warming threshold. Through interviews with a diverse range of contributors, including climate negotiators, Pacific islanders, scientists, and grassroots activists, the series examines the social, political, and ecological implications of climate overshoot. It situates these perspectives within a broader

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Global Systemic Stresses: Understanding the Drivers of Polycrisis

This report introduces the Cascade Institute’s Stress-Trigger-Crisis model, a systemic framework that distinguishes between slow-moving stresses that erode the resilience of global systems and fast-moving trigger events that precipitate crises. It identifies 14 global systemic stresses that affect nine vital systems: climate, ecology, food, energy, economy, infrastructure, health, social order and governance, and world order.

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Navigating Systemic Risk in the Age of Polycrisis

In this episode, Ajay Gambhir, Director of Systemic Risk Assessment at ASRA, explores the concept of polycrisis, showing how climate change is deeply interconnected with other global challenges across social, economic, and political systems. He highlights how crises reinforce one another, creating complex feedbacks that demand integrated solutions. A central theme is inequality, which shapes

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