This paper outlines key theoretical, methodological and organisational steps for understanding and mitigating cascading crises. It highlights new areas for integrated and collaborative research that involves cascading risk.
Understanding and Mitigating Cascading Crises in the Global Interconnected System Read More »
This study examines the increasing frequency, intensity, and interconnectedness of global hazards, both natural and human-made, over the past century.
The authors discuss the connections between polycrisis, child wellbeing, and policy-making throughout Europe.
Polycrisis and Child Wellbeing: Future Avenues Across Europe Read More »
This study proposes a framework to analyze the dynamics and risk channels between the climate crisis, financial stability, the geopolitical energy crisis, and the energy transitions. The framework is presented in a step-by-step guide and applied in a study case in Germany.
This study investigates disaster management practices for complex disasters, emphasizing systemic risk management within community resilience strategies.
The authors present a review of the state of the art in polycrisis literature within the domains of public policy and administration. They explore the history and characteristics of polycrisis and discuss future research opportunities.
Policymaking in an Age of Polycrises: Emerging Perspectives Read More »
Anthony Langlois explores the ethical dimensions of navigating contemporary global challenges like climate emergencies, digital transformation, and sustainability. The author argues that there are a lack of normative considerations in polycrisis analysis, emphasizing the need for ethical frameworks to address interconnected crises.
Ethics amid Crises Read More »
This paper addresses a gap in foresight studies by proposing a new framework, “collective forward intelligence,” to analyze trends across ecological, social, political, and economic systems. It develops planetary phase shift theory, suggesting that humanity is at a critical turning point, with global crises signalling industrial civilization’s potential collapse or transformation.
The authors examine global catastrophic risks, prioritizing those with the highest cascade potential. Through a horizon scan, they identify 15 key risks, highlighting themes like cascading failures, threat interactions, flawed methodologies, and sociopolitical contexts. They propose strategies for prevention, mitigation, and adaptation.
A Horizon Scan of Global Catastrophic Risks Read More »
The authors propose a Polycrisis framework combined with the meta-coupling framework to understand and assess the interdependence of multiple global crises in an interactive world. They apply this framework to Germany and China and discuss the policy implications for managing these crises, offering insights for future management strategies at both national and global levels.
Polycrisis: A Framework for Understanding Multiple Crises in the Metacoupled World Read More »
