This study proposes a framework to analyze the dynamics and risk channels between the climate crisis, financial stability, the geopolitical energy crisis, and the energy transitions. The framework is presented in a step-by-step guide and applied in a study case in Germany.
This study investigates disaster management practices for complex disasters, emphasizing systemic risk management within community resilience strategies.
The authors present a review of the state of the art in polycrisis literature within the domains of public policy and administration. They explore the history and characteristics of polycrisis and discuss future research opportunities.
Policymaking in an Age of Polycrises: Emerging Perspectives Read More »
Anthony Langlois explores the ethical dimensions of navigating contemporary global challenges like climate emergencies, digital transformation, and sustainability. The author argues that there are a lack of normative considerations in polycrisis analysis, emphasizing the need for ethical frameworks to address interconnected crises.
Ethics amid Crises Read More »
This paper addresses a gap in foresight studies by proposing a new framework, “collective forward intelligence,” to analyze trends across ecological, social, political, and economic systems. It develops planetary phase shift theory, suggesting that humanity is at a critical turning point, with global crises signalling industrial civilization’s potential collapse or transformation.
The authors propose a Polycrisis framework combined with the meta-coupling framework to understand and assess the interdependence of multiple global crises in an interactive world. They apply this framework to Germany and China and discuss the policy implications for managing these crises, offering insights for future management strategies at both national and global levels.
Polycrisis: A Framework for Understanding Multiple Crises in the Metacoupled World Read More »
This article argues “that intervening to mitigate and reverse the effects of the polycrisis challenges change agents, program designers, foundations, and evaluators to move beyond traditional project-level thinking and autonomous foundation grantmaking to engage in collaborative, principles-driven systems transformation.” They trace the evolution of philanthropy over the past 25 years from SMART goals and logic
A Philanthropic Theory of Systems Transformation for Advancing Equity in the Polycrisis Read More »
The authors examine the adequacy of adaptive and transformative capacities for navigating the polycrisis and propose five unifying processes as an organizing framework for considering other sustainability and crisis capacities.
In the Cascading Risks Study, author Trond Undheim seeks to create five scenarios (Climate cataclysm by 2075; World war by 2075; Growth and collapse by 2075; Runaway AI by 2075; and Synthetic biology released in the wild by 2075 ) with which to spur deeper conversation about the existential risks to humanity and how they
Scenarios 2075: The Cascading Risks Study Read More »
The authors examine involuntary migration and its associated global risks. They introduce the GRiNLoc-GpESTE tool to analyze the interconnectedness of factors driving migration, such as conflicts, natural disasters, climate change, and economic limitations. The study urges policymakers to address these risks with a cross-cutting approach, recognizing the potential for polycrisis.
Global Risks Related to Involuntary Migration Read More »
