Systemic Risk

A Systematic Review of Assessing Climate Change Risks on Species and Ecosystems: Bibliometric Overview, Concepts, Approaches, and Trends

The authors present a bibliometric analysis of the research landscape on climate change risk assessment for species and ecosystems, identifying key themes, trends and collaborations. They integrate correlative, mechanistic, trait-based and criteria-based approaches, offering a comprehensive evaluation of their strengths and limitations. Five foundational concepts are highlighted as central to assessing risk: exposure, sensitivity, adaptivity, […]

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Navigating New Horizons: A global foresight report on planetary health and human wellbeing

The report outlines the results of the strategic foresight and horizon scanning developed by UNEP to help navigate current and future uncertainty and disruptive change. It presents insights on eight critical global shifts that are accelerating the planetary crisis of climate change, biodiversity and nature loss and, pollution and waste.

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Navigating Systemic Risks: Governance of and for Systemic Risks

The authors explore the emergence of systemic risks in modern societies by examining how tightly coupled dynamic systems in the Anthropocene can lead to cascading failures. They argue that traditional risk governance approaches are insufficient in addressing the convergence of systemic and conventional risks. Drawing on case studies such as the COVID-19 pandemic and climate

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Facing Global Risks with Honest Hope: Transforming Multidimensional Challenges into Multidimensional Possibilities

This report examines the complexities of a global polycrisis, highlighting the interconnected nature of environmental, economic, and social risks. It emphasizes the urgent need for systemic risk assessment and response. Key recommendations focus on fostering public engagement, redirecting financial resources, and advancing education and research to build resilience.

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Polycrisis Research and Analysis Roadmap

This Roadmap, a collaboration between the Cascade Institute, the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, the Research Institute for Sustainability – Helmholtz Centre Potsdam, and the Centre for the Study of Existential Risk, presents a plan to advance polycrisis analysis as an inclusive, credible, and recognized field of knowledge and practice. It draws on the results of a broad consultation

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Our Polycrisis Demands a Radically New Approach to Risk Management

Ruth Richardson, the Executive Director of the Accelerator for Systemic Risk Assessment, argues that the “escalating global polycrisis demands an urgent and transformative shift in how we assess, anticipate, and mitigate systemic risks.” She then suggests a range of practical actions governments could take to better contend with polycrisis, such as creating a Minister for

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FuturePod Interview with Drs. Megan Shipman and Michael Lawrence

In this episode of FuturePod, host Dr. Peter Hayward speaks with Drs. Megan Shipman and Michael Lawrence of the Cascade Institute about the current global polycrisis, and their recently published Positive Pathways report and accompanying workshop. Shipman, Lawrence, and Hayward discuss the four key factors proposed by Dr. Thomas Homer-Dixon that define today’s polycrisis, provide

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Framework on Management of Emerging Critical Risks

This report presents a seven-step framework to help governments manage emerging critical risks in an increasingly interconnected global landscape, shaped by complex economic, social, and technological systems. It outlines processes for risk identification, assessment, information-sharing, maturity evaluation, and strategic planning to enhance flexibility and adaptability. By integrating emerging risks into traditional risk management approaches, the

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