The report presents Eurasia Group’s annual forecast of the political risks most likely to play out over the course of 2026. It outlines ten key global developments expected to shape the geopolitical landscape, including state-level conflicts, technological disruption, institutional challenges, and economic pressures. The analysis frames 2026 as a potential tipping point, marked by heightened […]
In this analysis, Foreign Policy presents its annual foresight of the top global risks for 2026. Drawing on the authors’ forecasting experience at the National Intelligence Council, the report outlines ten interconnected threats, including economic crisis, the dissolution of global order, disruptive AI trajectories, and accelerating climate decline. The authors argue that the world is
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The Crisis24 Global Risk Forecast 2026 provides a strategic outlook on the evolving risk landscape heading into 2026. It identifies a global environment marked by intensifying geopolitical competition, persistent economic volatility, increasing cyber vulnerabilities, and escalating climate disruptions. The report emphasizes the convergence of immediate shocks with deeper structural stressors, highlighting how interconnected and compounding
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The 2026 Risk Outlook examines the rapidly evolving global risk environment, where threats are accelerating, overlapping, and placing new pressures on organisational resilience. Drawn from interviews with 860 senior risk decision‑makers across 94 countries, the report identifies ten top drivers of global risk: geopolitical tensions, cyber‑crime, political and economic instability, regulatory uncertainty, extreme weather, mental‑health
This report explores the impact of extreme heat on agricultural producers and on crops, livestock, fisheries and aquaculture, and forests worldwide. Drawing on recent scientific evidence and country case studies, it highlights the independent and compound risks posed by extreme heat, underscores the urgency of mitigation, and presents pathways to strengthen resilience and sustainability across
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The November Global Risk Review Report delivers concise, strategic analysis of key geopolitical, economic and humanitarian developments shaping global stability. This edition highlights a world defined by enduring geopolitical volatility, systemic fragility and accelerating power shifts.
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The authors examine how emerging technologies, such as artificial intelligence, synthetic biology, quantum computing, and neurotechnology, are reshaping global security risks. The study argues that traditional threat-based security models are inadequate for addressing the complex, transnational, and increasingly weaponized nature of these technologies. The authors propose a shift toward risk-based frameworks that emphasize resilience, systemic
The October Global Risk Review Report provides an analysis of emerging geopolitical, economic, and humanitarian risks, emphasizing the interconnected nature of contemporary crises. It examines rising political violence, institutional fragility, and regional tensions, with examples ranging from the assassination of U.S. political figures to youth-led protests in South and Southeast Asia. The report addresses strategic
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The AXA Future Risks Report 2025 presents a comprehensive analysis of global risk perceptions, emphasizing how increasing social fragmentation is compounding systemic vulnerabilities across societies. The report identifies climate change, geopolitical instability, cybersecurity, artificial intelligence and big data, social tensions and movements, natural resources and biodiversity loss, macroeconomic risks, energy risks, financial stability risks, and
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The authors examine how the global food trade system is vulnerable to major shocks such as abrupt sunlight reduction (from nuclear war or volcanic activity) or global infrastructure loss (from severe geomagnetic storms or pandemics). Using a network model, they find that a sunlight reduction event could cause most countries to lose 50%–100% of their
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