Top Risks 2025
The report presents Eurasia Group’s annual forecast of the political risks that are most likely to emerge in 2025.
Systemic Risk
The Thematic Assessment Report on Interlinkages Among Biodiversity, Water, Food and Health
This report explores the interconnected crises and challenges of biodiversity loss, water availability and quality, food insecurity, health risks, and climate change, focusing on their interlinkages. It assesses current and future trends, emphasizing biodiversity and nature’s contributions to people. The report also examines response options and governance strategies to promote coordinated decision-making, minimize trade-offs, and
Navigating New Horizons: A global foresight report on planetary health and human wellbeing
The report outlines the results of the strategic foresight and horizon scanning developed by UNEP to help navigate current and future uncertainty and disruptive change. It presents insights on eight critical global shifts that are accelerating the planetary crisis of climate change, biodiversity and nature loss and, pollution and waste.
Enhancing Systemic Risk Management to Strengthen Community Resilience: Key Recommendations from State-of-the-Art Practices of Past Complex Incidents
This study investigates disaster management practices for complex disasters, emphasizing systemic risk management within community resilience strategies.
Scenarios 2075: The Cascading Risks Study
In the Cascading Risks Study, author Trond Undheim seeks to create five scenarios (Climate cataclysm by 2075; World war by 2075; Growth and collapse by 2075; Runaway AI by 2075; and Synthetic biology released in the wild by 2075 ) with which to spur deeper conversation about the existential risks to humanity and how they
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Facing Global Risks with Honest Hope: Transforming Multidimensional Challenges into Multidimensional Possibilities
This report examines the complexities of a global polycrisis, highlighting the interconnected nature of environmental, economic, and social risks. It emphasizes the urgent need for systemic risk assessment and response. Key recommendations focus on fostering public engagement, redirecting financial resources, and advancing education and research to build resilience.
Polycrisis Research and Analysis Roadmap
This Roadmap, a collaboration between the Cascade Institute, the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, the Research Institute for Sustainability – Helmholtz Centre Potsdam, and the Centre for the Study of Existential Risk, presents a plan to advance polycrisis analysis as an inclusive, credible, and recognized field of knowledge and practice. It draws on the results of a broad consultation
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Our Polycrisis Demands a Radically New Approach to Risk Management
Ruth Richardson discusses how current tools and strategies are not designed to assess the types of systemic risks that we currently face. The author calls on policymakers to drive a transformative shift in systemic risks management to effectively address the escalating polycrisis.
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Our polycrisis demands a radically new approach to risk management
Ruth Richardson, the Executive Director of the Accelerator for Systemic Risk Assessment, argues that the “escalating global polycrisis demands an urgent and transformative shift in how we assess, anticipate, and mitigate systemic risks.” She then suggests a range of practical actions governments could take to better contend with polycrisis, such as creating a Minister for
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Systemic contributions to global catastrophic risk
This article examines two distinct but related approaches to the global risk landscape: one explores how risks emerge from complex global systems, while the other focuses on worst-case outcomes. The authors present a framework that connects these perspectives, highlighting how emergent properties of the global system—such as hazards, amplification, vulnerability, and latent risks—drive the potential
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