Polycrisis Resource Library

The Polycrisis Resource Library is a growing collection of media that help to understand polycrisis, develop strategies to address polycrisis, and build a field of polycrisis analysis.

Updating Mental Models of Risk

Rod Schoonover, Daniel P. Aldrich and Daniel Hoyer

The authors argue that disasters are no longer isolated events but manifestations of an interconnected complex risk landscape in which cascading and compounding hazards interact across systems. Drawing on recent…

The Perfect Storm: How Intertwined Crises are Reshaping Global Food Security and Commodity Markets

Market Minute

The article examines how cascading crises during 2024 and 2025, including climate extremes, geopolitical conflicts, and economic pressures, have disrupted global agricultural supply chains. These disruptions have led to rising…

The WorldRiskReport

Bündnis Entwicklung Hilft

The WorldRiskReport 2025 presents the WorldRiskIndex, which assesses disaster risk across 193 countries by combining exposure to natural hazards with societal vulnerability. The report identifies Asia, Africa, and the Americas…

Nature and Biodiversity Loss: A Research Agenda for Financial Economics

Stefano Giglio, Theresa Kuchler, Johannes Stroebel and Olivier Wang

The authors outline a research agenda to deepen understanding of the economic and financial consequences of nature and biodiversity loss, emphasizing that ecosystem degradation and climate change are intertwined through…

Food Trade Disruption After Global Catastrophes

Florian Ulrich Jehn, Łukasz G. Gajewski, Johanna Hedlund, Constantin W. Arnscheidt, Lili Xia, Nico Wunderling and David Denkenberger

The authors examine how the global food trade system is vulnerable to major shocks such as abrupt sunlight reduction (from nuclear war or volcanic activity) or global infrastructure loss (from…

Global Systemic Stresses: Understanding the Drivers of Polycrisis

Michael Lawrence, Megan Shipman and Chris Collins

This report introduces the Cascade Institute’s Stress-Trigger-Crisis model, a systemic framework that distinguishes between slow-moving stresses that erode the resilience of global systems and fast-moving trigger events that precipitate crises….

The Polycrisis Part I: War

Anthony Bartaway

In this mini-series, journalist Anthony Bartaway explores the concept of the current polycrisis. He examines its potential causes, including the collapse of the international community, the spread of disinformation, and…

The Polycrisis Demands a Renewed Humanism

Edgar Morin and Claudio Pedretti

In this article, Edgar Morin and Claudio Pedretti revisit the concept of polycrisis, arguing that what Morin first introduced in 1999 as a warning has now become our lived reality:…

Global Strategic Trends

UK Ministry of Defence

The seventh edition of Global Strategic Trends presents a comprehensive analysis of global conditions projected to 2055. It identifies six interconnected drivers of change: geopolitical competition, demographic shifts, climate and…

Finnish Government’s Future Report 2025

Government of Finland

The Finnish Government’s Future Report 2025 presents a strategic foresight analysis exploring global developments up to 2045 through four possible scenarios: cooperation, tech dominance, geopolitical blocs, and collapse. It identifies…

About the Resource Library

The Polycrisis Resource Library includes resources that:

  • Comment on the polycrisis as a concept and as a present global reality
  • Undertake similar analysis using different—but related—concepts
  • Analyze crisis interactions among multiple global systems

Though not exhaustive, the Library strives to present a diverse representation of views on different aspects of the polycrisis discussion, and will be updated as that discussion evolves. Search for resources with the keyword search bar, or by using the drop-down menus to filter for type of resource, global systems addressed, and key themes.

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