Scenarios 2075: The Cascading Risks Study
Trond Arne Undheim
In the Cascading Risks Study, author Trond Undheim seeks to create five scenarios (Climate cataclysm by 2075; World war by 2075; Growth and collapse by 2075; Runaway AI by 2075;…
Polycrisis Resource Library
The Polycrisis Resource Library is a growing collection of media that help to understand polycrisis, develop strategies to address polycrisis, and build a field of polycrisis analysis.
Impact 2024: How Donald Trump’s Reelection Could Amplify Global Inter-systemic Risk
Thomas Homer-Dixon, Michael Lawrence, Megan Shipman, Luke Kemp
The November 2024 federal election in the United States could mark an abrupt inflection point not only in the evolution of the American polity but also in the direction of…
Loneliness in Times of Global Polycrises
Sebastian Spanknebel, Simon Barton, and René Hurlemann
The authors argue that polycrises “are associated with enormous psychological stress, especially for vulnerable groups”, in part because they impair social interaction. The resulting loneliness then affects people’s behaviors within…
All at Once: Multilateralism amid a Polycrisis
Erin Watson and Ratu Bintang Assyifa Arweys
The authors argue that instead of seeing the polycrisis as a failure of multilateralism, analysis should focus on the ways in which multilateralism is adapting, and how it could better…
Prepared for the Polycrisis? The Need for Complexity Science and Systems Thinking to Address Global and National Evidence Gaps
Aku Kwamie, Sara Causevic, Goran Tomson, Ali Sie, Rainer Sauerborn, Kumanan Rasanathan, and Ole Petter Ottersen
The authors argue that inadequate national and global level data prevent us from understanding the complex interactions of the polycrisis and achieving the Sustainable Development Goals. They propose that applied…
Evaluation in the Polycrisis Epoch
Michael Quinn Patton
Michael Quinn Patton argues that good public policy evaluation is crucial for addressing the global polycrisis, but requires an informed citizenry. It is thus presently “engaged in a battle against…
Polycrisis Research and Analysis Roadmap
Michael Lawrence, Megan Shipman, Scott Janzwood, Constantin Arnscheidt, Jonathan Donges, Thomas Homer-Dixon, Christian Otto, Pia-Johanna Schweizer, Nico Wunderling
This Roadmap, a collaboration between the Cascade Institute, the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, the Research Institute for Sustainability – Helmholtz Centre Potsdam, and the Centre for the Study of Existential Risk, presents a…
Our polycrisis demands a radically new approach to risk management
Ruth Richardson
Ruth Richardson, the Executive Director of the Accelerator for Systemic Risk Assessment, argues that the “escalating global polycrisis demands an urgent and transformative shift in how we assess, anticipate, and…
FuturePod Interview with Drs. Megan Shipman and Michael Lawrence
FuturePod
In this episode of FuturePod, host Dr. Peter Hayward speaks with Drs. Megan Shipman and Michael Lawrence of the Cascade Institute about the current global polycrisis, and their recently published…
About the Resource Library
The Polycrisis Resource Library includes resources that:
- Comment on the polycrisis as a concept and as a present global reality
- Undertake similar analysis using different—but related—concepts
- Analyze crisis interactions among multiple global systems
Though not exhaustive, the Library strives to present a diverse representation of views on different aspects of the polycrisis discussion, and will be updated as that discussion evolves. Search for resources with the keyword search bar, or by using the drop-down menus to filter for type of resource, global systems addressed, and key themes.
World Polycrisis Hangs on US Politics
Hugo Dixon
Hugo Dixon proposes that the “future of Ukraine, world trade, climate change, and relations between superpowers the United States and China depends to a great extent on whether Trump wins…