Polycrisis Resource Library

The Polycrisis Resource Library is a growing collection of media that help to understand polycrisis, develop strategies to address polycrisis, and build a field of polycrisis analysis.

Characterizing the Global Polycrisis: A Systematic Review of Recent Literature

Judith J. Rakowski, Linn N. Schaan, Roel van Klink, Iryna Herzon, Adina Arth, Gregor Hagedorn, Julian Rode, Felix Creutzig and Guy Pe'er.

The authors examine the concept of polycrisis, a term that has gained prominence for describing the interconnected nature of global challenges. Through a systematic review of 2,299 publications, the results…

It’s Time to Consider Global Catastrophic Food Failures

Noah J. Wescombe, Juan Garcia Martínez, Florian Ulrich Jehn, Nico Wunderling, Asaf Tzachor, Vilma Sandström, Michael Cassidy, Rachel Ainsworth and David Denkenberger

The authors explore how food systems face interconnected, systemic risks that could culminate in widespread disruptions, potentially triggering extreme global famine, alongside other neglected extreme risks. They introduce the term…

Planetary Peace for Human Security: Responses to Existential Risks in the Anthropocene

Paul Shrivastava, Carlos Álvarez Pereira and Laetitia Mairlot

In this report, the Club of Rome argues that the current peace architecture, largely shaped by a few dominant powers in the post–World War II era, is no longer fit…

Positive Externalities in the Polycrisis: Effectively Addressing Disaster and Climate Risks for Generating Multiple Resilience Dividends

Reinhard Mechler, Piotr Żebrowski, Romain Clercq‑Roques, Pratik Patil and Stefan Hochrainer‑Stigler

This paper argues that, in the context of the Polycrisis, further investment is urgently needed to address the underlying drivers of disaster and climate-related risks. The authors examine the state…

A Systemic Risk Assessment Methodological Framework for the Global Polycrisis

Ajay Gambhir, Michael J. Albert, Sylvanus S. P. Doe, Jonathan F. Donges, Nadim Farajalla, Leandro L. Giatti, Haripriya Gundimeda, Sarah Hendel-Blackford, Thomas Homer-Dixon, Daniel Hoyer, Sumaya Adan, David Jacome-Polit, Luke Kemp, David Korowicz, Zora Kovacic, Jan Kwakkel, Laurie Laybourn, Robert Lempert, Ayan Mahamoud, Tom H. Oliver, Ivana E. Pavkova, Joseph Ponnoly, Vishwas Satgar, Megan Shipman, Jana Sillmann, Nick Silver, Samuel Stevenson & Ruth Richardson

The paper examines two historical global food–energy crises, highlighting the limitations of traditional risk management approaches in addressing today’s complex and interconnected global risks. The authors propose a methodological framework…

New Challenge for Risk Governance: Polycrisis and Systemic Risk

Ortwin Renn

The author highlights the rise of polycrises, where interconnected challenges, such as the pandemic, climate change, wars, food insecurity, and inflation, mutually amplify one another. He argues that the traditional…

Dimensional characterization and Pathway Modeling for Catastrophic AI Risks

Ze Shen Chin

This paper examines catastrophic AI risks using a framework that combines seven risk dimensions: intent, competency, entity, polarity, linearity, reach, and order, along with risk pathway modelling to link hazards…

Echoes of Uncertainty: Reimagining Complexity of Global Risks in the Shadow of the Russian–Ukrainian Conflict

Mateusz Błaszczyk and Piotr Pieńkowski

The authors explore risk perceptions in Ukraine and Poland in the context of the ongoing Russian–Ukrainian conflict. Drawing on cross-sectional survey data, the research reveals significant differences in how respondents…

Goliath’s Curse: The History and Future of Societal Collapse

Luke Kemp

Luke Kemp explores the historical patterns and future risks of societal collapse, tracing the evolution of human societies from egalitarian hunter-gatherers to hierarchical empires dominated by extractive elites. He argues…

Coping with Persistent Disruptive Stressors and Polycrisis: Community-Based Policy Making and Local Empowerment

Norio Okada and Ortwin Renn

The authors propose a conceptual framework for governing polycrisis and systemic risks through a bottom-up, community-based approach. They introduce the “risk governance triangle”, linking persistent disruptive stressors, risk-absorbing systems, and…

About the Resource Library

The Polycrisis Resource Library includes resources that:

  • Comment on the polycrisis as a concept and as a present global reality
  • Undertake similar analysis using different—but related—concepts
  • Analyze crisis interactions among multiple global systems

Though not exhaustive, the Library strives to present a diverse representation of views on different aspects of the polycrisis discussion, and will be updated as that discussion evolves. Search for resources with the keyword search bar, or by using the drop-down menus to filter for type of resource, global systems addressed, and key themes.

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