Technology Archives - Polycrisis

How Do We Navigate Asia-Pacific’s Climate-Cyber Polycrisis?

The author argues that a new polycrisis is emerging at the intersection of climate change and cybersecurity, as extreme weather, natural disasters, and cyberattacks increasingly occur simultaneously and amplify one another. Focusing on Asia and the Pacific, the article shows how climate-driven disruptions to critical infrastructure create openings for cybercrime, particularly during moments of emergency […]

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Development of Technology Convergence Assessment Framework for Polycrisis

This article explores how open science, artificial intelligence, geoinformatics, virtual reality, and augmented reality offer a transformative approach to addressing complex polycrisis challenges. Using a multifaceted methodology that includes a structured review, technology convergence assessment, and semantic network analysis, the authors examine how these technologies can contribute to resilient and adaptive solutions while identifying current

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Global Risks Report 2026: Geopolitical and Economic Risks Rise in New Age of Competition

The Global Risks Report 2026 explores how a new competitive world order is reshaping global risks across domains. Over the next two years, geoeconomic confrontation is identified as the most severe risk, with economic and societal instability also rising sharply. Over a ten-year horizon, inequality emerges as the most interconnected long-term risk, while artificial intelligence shows the

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Ten Issues to Watch in 2026

This report identifies ten critical issues expected to shape the EU’s political agenda and global engagement in 2026. It highlights growing geopolitical tensions, the accelerating impact of artificial intelligence, mounting climate and energy pressures, and increasing strain on democratic institutions. Other key concerns include migration, economic fragmentation, demographic decline, and the sustainability of health systems.

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Big AI is accelerating the metacrisis: What can we do?

The author argues that large-scale corporate artificial intelligence, or “Big AI,” is accelerating a converging set of ecological, cultural, and linguistic crises that together constitute a global metacrisis. Focusing on large language models, the article examines how these technologies intensify environmental pressures, undermine meaning-making and democratic processes, and contribute to the marginalization and loss of

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Global Risk Forecast 2026

The Crisis24 Global Risk Forecast 2026 provides a strategic outlook on the evolving risk landscape heading into 2026. It identifies a global environment marked by intensifying geopolitical competition, persistent economic volatility, increasing cyber vulnerabilities, and escalating climate disruptions. The report emphasizes the convergence of immediate shocks with deeper structural stressors, highlighting how interconnected and compounding

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Examining the Three Existential Threats of the 21st Century: Artificial Intelligence, Climate Change, and Nuclear Weapons

The authors critically examine three existential threats facing humanity in the 21st century: advanced artificial intelligence, escalating climate change, and nuclear weapons. Drawing on scientific consensus and growing institutional concern, they explore the structural features that make each threat existential and analyze their dangerous interactions. The authors propose a framework for future inquiry, policy, and

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Mapping the Hope Attractor: A Conversation with Thomas- Homer Dixon

In this conversation, Thomas Homer-Dixon introduces the Cascade Institute’s Polycrisis Core Model (PCM), a novel framework designed to map and analyse interactions among 11 critical global systems, each with multiple potential future states. The model employs cross-impact balance (CIB) analysis to evaluate over four million internally consistent scenarios, ultimately identifying 11 distinct “attractor” states. These

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