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Tourism in the Polycrisis: a Horizon 2050 Paper

This paper delves into the urgent need for the tourism sector to better understand and plan for the complex and interconnected global risks—collectively referred to as a polycrisis—that threaten its future. Drawing on the World Economic Forum’s Global Risk Reports, the authors present a foundational framework for incorporating environmental, economic, geopolitical, societal, and technological risks […]

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Mapping Emerging Critical Risks

This paper reviews the findings of a pilot online mapping exercise of emerging risks conducted by the OECD High-Level Risk Forum. Nearly half of the risks shortlisted during the first stage were related to socio-environmental issues, including extreme temperatures and heatwaves, drinking water scarcity, the spread of vector-borne diseases to new areas, climate change-induced mass

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