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The Spectrum of (Poly)Crisis: Exploring Polycrises of the Past to Better Understand our Current and Future Risks

The authors explore the concept of polycrises by examining historical examples from late 1st-millennium CE Mesoamerica, Late Medieval Eurasia, and the Early Modern Northern Hemisphere to illustrate how these periods exhibited key characteristics of a polycrisis. They argue that studying historical polycrises can enhance our understanding of contemporary challenges and inform the development of strategies […]

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Navigating Systemic Risks: Governance of and for Systemic Risks

The authors explore the emergence of systemic risks in modern societies by examining how tightly coupled dynamic systems in the Anthropocene can lead to cascading failures. They argue that traditional risk governance approaches are insufficient in addressing the convergence of systemic and conventional risks. Drawing on case studies such as the COVID-19 pandemic and climate

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Facing Global Risks with Honest Hope: Transforming Multidimensional Challenges into Multidimensional Possibilities

This report examines the complexities of a global polycrisis, highlighting the interconnected nature of environmental, economic, and social risks. It emphasizes the urgent need for systemic risk assessment and response. Key recommendations focus on fostering public engagement, redirecting financial resources, and advancing education and research to build resilience.

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Adapting The Way We Govern to Cope with ‘Polycrisis’

This article explores governance strategies for navigating the growing polycrisis, emphasizing the need for an adaptive, multi-level, and collaborative governance approach to enhance adaptability, cooperation, and resilience. Key strategies include multi-level governance, managing the political and bureaucratic landscape, and fostering personal and organizational resilience to ensure effective crisis response.

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Prepared for the Polycrisis? The Need for Complexity Science and Systems Thinking to Address Global and National Evidence Gaps

The authors argue that inadequate national and global level data prevent us from understanding the complex interactions of the polycrisis and achieving the Sustainable Development Goals. They propose that applied systems thinking can address this gap by helping to hypothesize, model, visualize, and test system properties, especially if it uses participatory processes that “assist stakeholders

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Evaluation in the Polycrisis Epoch

Michael Quinn Patton argues that good public policy evaluation is crucial for addressing the global polycrisis, but requires an informed citizenry. It is thus presently “engaged in a battle against misinformation, politicized knowledge, irrational decision-making, and authoritarian governments. Framing his analysis with Ancient Greek philosophy, Patton proposes that evaluation is really about critical thinking and

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Our polycrisis demands a radically new approach to risk management

Ruth Richardson, the Executive Director of the Accelerator for Systemic Risk Assessment, argues that the “escalating global polycrisis demands an urgent and transformative shift in how we assess, anticipate, and mitigate systemic risks.” She then suggests a range of practical actions governments could take to better contend with polycrisis, such as creating a Minister for

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Systemic contributions to global catastrophic risk

This article examines two distinct but related approaches to the global risk landscape: one explores how risks emerge from complex global systems, while the other focuses on worst-case outcomes. The authors present a framework that connects these perspectives, highlighting how emergent properties of the global system—such as hazards, amplification, vulnerability, and latent risks—drive the potential

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