The Disruption Nexus
This article discusses whether current crises will contribute to civilizational breakdown or whether humanity will successfully rise to such challenges.
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Understanding and Mitigating Cascading Crises in the Global Interconnected System
This paper outlines key theoretical, methodological and organisational steps for understanding and mitigating cascading crises. It highlights new areas for integrated and collaborative research that involves cascading risk.
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Permacrisis: A Plan to Fix a Fractured World
The authors analyze underlying drivers of the Permacrisis, explaining how current trends could exacerbate the situation. They propose strategies to transform vicious cycles into virtuous ones.
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The Next Systemic Financial Crisis – Where Might it Come From?: Financial Stability in a Polycrisis World
This book discusses macroeconomic factors, crypto assets, non-bank financial institutions, and regulated financial service providers, highlighting that each sector can interact with others to create a cluster of risks with compounding effects.
Enhancing Systemic Risk Management to Strengthen Community Resilience: Key Recommendations from State-of-the-Art Practices of Past Complex Incidents
This study investigates disaster management practices for complex disasters, emphasizing systemic risk management within community resilience strategies.
The Changing Economic Geography of Companies and Regions in Times of Risk, Uncertainty, and Crisis
This book examines how uncertainties, crises, and risks transform the spatial arrangements of companies and regions. It explores key concepts such as global value chains, production networks, and regional resilience, illustrated through case studies from a range of industries.
Leadership in Polycrisis: Essential Capabilities for Navigating Global Challenges
This study explores leadership capabilities needed to effectively navigate the unprecedented challenges of polycrisis contexts.
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“Planetary Phase Shift” as a New Systems Framework to Navigate the Evolutionary Transformation of Human Civilisation
This paper addresses a gap in foresight studies by proposing a new framework, “collective forward intelligence,” to analyze trends across ecological, social, political, and economic systems. It develops planetary phase shift theory, suggesting that humanity is at a critical turning point, with global crises signalling industrial civilization’s potential collapse or transformation.
Polycrisis: A Framework for Understanding Multiple Crises in the Metacoupled World
The authors propose a Polycrisis framework combined with the meta-coupling framework to understand and assess the interdependence of multiple global crises in an interactive world. They apply this framework to Germany and China and discuss the policy implications for managing these crises, offering insights for future management strategies at both national and global levels.
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Navigating the Polycrisis: Assessing the Adequacy of Adaptive and Transformative Capacities for Addressing Anthropocene Traps
The authors examine the adequacy of adaptive and transformative capacities for navigating the polycrisis and propose five unifying processes as an organizing framework for considering other sustainability and crisis capacities.