This OECD Environmental Outlook examines the interlocking trends and drivers of climate change, biodiversity loss, and pollution, projects how they will evolve through mid-century, and analyzes policy synergies and trade-offs. It also provides a roadmap to help governments address these challenges in a more integrated manner.
Environmental Outlook on the Triple Planetary Crisis Read More »
The authors reflect on the decade since the 2015 Paris Agreement and conclude that humanity has failed to avert dangerous climate change, with global warming set to exceed 1.5°C and enter an overshoot phase within years. This escalation increases the frequency and severity of extreme events and risks triggering tipping points in major Earth systems
The World Lost the Climate Gamble. Now it Faces a Dangerous New Reality Read More »
The authors underscore the urgent need to address the interconnected threats of climate change, conflict, and health. They highlight how these threats not only cause direct harm, such as heat-related deaths and conflict-driven mortality, but also compound vulnerabilities by damaging health systems, disrupting essential services, and fueling cycles of instability. Fragile and conflict-affected states are
Tackling the Complex Links Between Climate Change, Conflict, and Health Read More »
This report presents a systematic effort to theorize what the authors call “derailment risk,” a vicious cycle in which escalating climate impacts and the disruptive consequences of green transitions undermine climate action. Drawing on twenty global workshops and hundreds of expert contributions, the project mapped how worsening disasters, resource diversion, and political backlash can derail
The 2025 Global Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI) examines the intersection of poverty and climate hazards. It overlays data on climate hazards and multidimensional poverty to assess how exposed poor people are to climate shocks. The analysis reveals that nearly 80 percent of the 1.1 billion people living in acute poverty face at least one climate
The Global Tipping Points Report 2025 presents a comprehensive assessment of the escalating risks posed by irreversible changes in Earth’s systems due to human-driven climate and ecological pressures. With contributions from over 160 scientists across 87 institutions, the report identifies critical tipping points such as the collapse of coral reefs, thawing permafrost, and destabilization of
The Global Tipping Points Report 2025 Read More »
In this four-part documentary series, Laurie Laybourn explores the significant challenges associated with exceeding the 1.5°C global warming threshold. Through interviews with a diverse range of contributors, including climate negotiators, Pacific islanders, scientists, and grassroots activists, the series examines the social, political, and ecological implications of climate overshoot. It situates these perspectives within a broader
Overshoot: Navigating a world beyond 1.5°C Read More »
This report introduces the Cascade Institute’s Stress-Trigger-Crisis model, a systemic framework that distinguishes between slow-moving stresses that erode the resilience of global systems and fast-moving trigger events that precipitate crises. It identifies 14 global systemic stresses that affect nine vital systems: climate, ecology, food, energy, economy, infrastructure, health, social order and governance, and world order.
Global Systemic Stresses: Understanding the Drivers of Polycrisis Read More »
In this episode, Ajay Gambhir, Director of Systemic Risk Assessment at ASRA, explores the concept of polycrisis, showing how climate change is deeply interconnected with other global challenges across social, economic, and political systems. He highlights how crises reinforce one another, creating complex feedbacks that demand integrated solutions. A central theme is inequality, which shapes
Navigating Systemic Risk in the Age of Polycrisis Read More »
This paper argues that, in the context of the Polycrisis, further investment is urgently needed to address the underlying drivers of disaster and climate-related risks. The authors examine the state of arts of the Triple Dividend of Resilience (TDR) framework, a concept that suggests resilience investments yield not only risk reduction benefits from intervention investments,
