Climate Archives - Polycrisis

Global Risk Forecast 2026

The Crisis24 Global Risk Forecast 2026 provides a strategic outlook on the evolving risk landscape heading into 2026. It identifies a global environment marked by intensifying geopolitical competition, persistent economic volatility, increasing cyber vulnerabilities, and escalating climate disruptions. The report emphasizes the convergence of immediate shocks with deeper structural stressors, highlighting how interconnected and compounding […]

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Examining the Three Existential Threats of the 21st Century: Artificial Intelligence, Climate Change, and Nuclear Weapons

The authors critically examine three existential threats facing humanity in the 21st century: advanced artificial intelligence, escalating climate change, and nuclear weapons. Drawing on scientific consensus and growing institutional concern, they explore the structural features that make each threat existential and analyze their dangerous interactions. The authors propose a framework for future inquiry, policy, and

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Global Environment Outlook 7: A Future We Choose

The Global Environment Outlook presents a scientific assessment of the state of the global environment. It finds that climate change, biodiversity loss, land degradation, desertification, and pollution and waste are exacting a heavy toll on the planet, human well-being, and economies, already costing trillions of dollars annually. The report calls on all actors to recognize

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The Anthropocene Paradigm Shift

In this symposium, experts explore the Anthropocene as a scientific, cultural, political, and economic paradigm shift, examining the trajectories of the Great Acceleration and the current state of the biosphere, and critically reflecting on key frameworks shaping global debate: planetary boundaries, tipping points, planetary stewardship, and the planetary commons.

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Planetary Health Check 2025: A Scientific Assessment of the State of the Planet

The Planetary Health Check report provides an assessment of the state of our planet. The report is based on the Planetary Boundaries -the nine processes that are known to regulate the stability, resilience and life-support unctions of our planet. The report concludes that seven out of nine Planetary Boundaries have been breached: Climate Change, Change

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Environmental Outlook on the Triple Planetary Crisis

This OECD Environmental Outlook examines the interlocking trends and drivers of climate change, biodiversity loss, and pollution, projects how they will evolve through mid-century, and analyzes policy synergies and trade-offs. It also provides a roadmap to help governments address these challenges in a more integrated manner.

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The World Lost the Climate Gamble. Now it Faces a Dangerous New Reality

The authors reflect on the decade since the 2015 Paris Agreement and conclude that humanity has failed to avert dangerous climate change, with global warming set to exceed 1.5°C and enter an overshoot phase within years. This escalation increases the frequency and severity of extreme events and risks triggering tipping points in major Earth systems

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Highlights from the Extreme Heat and Agriculture Report

This report explores the impact of extreme heat on agricultural producers and on crops, livestock, fisheries and aquaculture, and forests worldwide. Drawing on recent scientific evidence and country case studies, it highlights the independent and compound risks posed by extreme heat, underscores the urgency of mitigation, and presents pathways to strengthen resilience and sustainability across

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Tackling the Complex Links Between Climate Change, Conflict, and Health

The authors underscore the urgent need to address the interconnected threats of climate change, conflict, and health. They highlight how these threats not only cause direct harm, such as heat-related deaths and conflict-driven mortality, but also compound vulnerabilities by damaging health systems, disrupting essential services, and fueling cycles of instability. Fragile and conflict-affected states are

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Derailment Risk

This report presents a systematic effort to theorize what the authors call “derailment risk,” a vicious cycle in which escalating climate impacts and the disruptive consequences of green transitions undermine climate action. Drawing on twenty global workshops and hundreds of expert contributions, the project mapped how worsening disasters, resource diversion, and political backlash can derail

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