Unraveling the Polycrisis with Foresight and Innovation

This publication introduces the EU Policy Lab’s new Polycrisis Exploration Tool, an adaptable tool for foresight and holistic risk management. Grounded in Wendy Schultz’s Manoa methodology, it uses a participatory and structured approach to explore multiple future wheels, examining how interconnected risks might materialize simultaneously. Drawing on 40 risks identified in the Risks on the Horizon foresight study, the tool facilitates strategic conversations about current and future risks, disasters, and Polycrisis.