Tourism in the Polycrisis: a Horizon 2050 Paper

This paper delves into the urgent need for the tourism sector to better understand and plan for the complex and interconnected global risks—collectively referred to as a polycrisis—that threaten its future. Drawing on the World Economic Forum’s Global Risk Reports, the authors present a foundational framework for incorporating environmental, economic, geopolitical, societal, and technological risks into tourism futures planning. Through a preliminary expert assessment, the paper highlights key risk dimensions shaping tourism development and calls for systematic research to identify, measure, and mitigate these global threats.