Mapping Technological Civilization in State Space: From Planetary Vital Signs to Multidimensional Risk Configurations

The author examines how global systemic risks can be understood as properties of multidimensional configurations rather than through conventional lists and rankings. The paper proposes a state-space framework in which current problems correspond to occupied regions, emerging threats to regions the system may move towards, and systemic risks to regions where perturbations are amplified rather than absorbed. Drawing on 12 global indicators for 2000–2025, the analysis identifies a dominant common secular trend accounting for 83.3% of the variance, alongside acute financial-system excursions in 2008–2011 and 2020. The system’s trajectory increasingly aligns with the direction of strongest reinforcement in an independently assessed interaction matrix, but this alignment is largely explained by shared long-term trends. The author presents the framework as a diagnostic tool rather than a forecasting model, and calls for further research to identify critical boundaries and develop early-warning indicators.