This report highlights the emerging security threat for Europe as global warming rapidly approaches 1.5°C, increasing the systemic risks of crossing multiple Earth System Tipping Points (ESTPs). It emphasizes that climate mitigation action is critical to avoid direct impacts on Europe, such as the collapse of Atlantic Ocean circulation, melting Arctic ice-sheets, and boreal permafrost melting. The report underscores the need for early warning systems and risk assessments tailored to ESTPs, which will inform resilience-building and adaptation strategies. It offers recommendations for actions required to address the anticipatory governance gap.
Earth System Tipping Points are a threat to Europe

Author(s)
Rosa Maria Roman Cuesta, Frank Dentener, Stefano Galmarini, Manjana Milkoreit, David Armstrong McKay, Tom De Groeve, Donovan Patrick Dennis, Greet Janssens-Maenhout, Sina Loriani, and Ana Ruiz Moreno.
Publication Date
13 January 2025
Publisher
European Commission
DOI / URL

Resource Type
International Organization Report
Systems Addressed
Climate