Earth System Tipping Points are a threat to Europe

6

This report highlights the emerging security threat for Europe as global warming rapidly approaches 1.5°C, increasing the systemic risks of crossing multiple Earth System Tipping Points (ESTPs). It emphasizes that climate mitigation action is critical to avoid direct impacts on Europe, such as the collapse of Atlantic Ocean circulation, melting Arctic ice-sheets, and boreal permafrost melting. The report underscores the need for early warning systems and risk assessments tailored to ESTPs, which will inform resilience-building and adaptation strategies. It offers recommendations for actions required to address the anticipatory governance gap.

Author(s)

Rosa Maria Roman Cuesta, Frank Dentener, Stefano Galmarini, Manjana Milkoreit, David Armstrong McKay, Tom De Groeve, Donovan Patrick Dennis, Greet Janssens-Maenhout, Sina Loriani, and Ana Ruiz Moreno.

Publication Date

13 January 2025

Publisher

European Commission

DOI / URL

6

Resource Type

International Organization Report

Systems Addressed

Climate

Uses the term polycrisis

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