In this Phenomenal World analysis, Kate Mackenzie and Tim Sahay examine how climate-driven disasters are destabilizing the global insurance industry and, by extension, financial and housing markets. They warn of a looming “doom loop” in which rising floods, fires, and storms render properties uninsurable, leading to unmortgageable homes, collapsing housing markets, and systemic economic strain. […]
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This PolyCIVIS Foundational Brief explores the complexities of the polycrisis, examining the human dimension and focusing on governance, economic systems, and public trust. It analyzes the politics of framing the polycrisis and how existing governance structures can inadvertently contribute to its intricacy. It emphasizes the need for long-term, systemic solutions over short-term measures and advocates
The authors explore the intertwined crises of climate change, biodiversity loss, and poverty, emphasizing how these issues amplify one another and create a vicious cycle that threatens ecosystems, livelihoods, and global stability. They advocate for integrated approaches to address these interconnected challenges.
Interconnected Crises: Climate Change, Biodiversity Loss, Poverty Read More »
Andrew Busch examines the top global disaster risks for 2025, highlighting their interconnected nature, the compounding effects they may have, and potential strategies for effective risk management.
Top 10 2025 Global Disaster Risks Read More »
The Horizon 2045 Foresight Radar is an interactive tool for exploring pivotal issues and drivers of change shaping human and planetary security. The radar offers a comprehensive collection of more than 500 signals of change, three divergent scenarios for the world in 2045, and seven stories of deep change about shifting mental models.
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Noting that “This is not our first polycrisis”, the authors point out that actors in the Global South proposed a “New International Economic Order (NIEO)” to deal with the polycrisis of the 1970s by addressing food shortages, international debt, control over natural resources, and technology transfers. While the original NIEO failed, Progressive International has launched
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This guide defines global catastrophic biological risks (GCBRs) as “risks that threaten great worldwide damage to human welfare, and place the long-term trajectory of humankind in jeopardy… [and are] broadly biological in nature”. The author then analyzes historical, current, and potential biological risks (e.g., The Black Death, horsepox, etc.) and argues that some historical biological
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