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What the Global Risks Report 2026 Really Says About the Urgency of Environmental Threats

This article highlights how environmental risks remain among the most severe global threats in the World Economic Forum’s Global Risks Report 2026, yet their perceived urgency has shifted across time horizons. While short-term concerns are increasingly dominated by geopolitical fragmentation and misinformation, this shift does not reflect an easing of environmental threats, which are now […]

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Insurance in the Polycrisis

In this Phenomenal World analysis, Kate Mackenzie and Tim Sahay examine how climate-driven disasters are destabilizing the global insurance industry and, by extension, financial and housing markets. They warn of a looming “doom loop” in which rising floods, fires, and storms render properties uninsurable, leading to unmortgageable homes, collapsing housing markets, and systemic economic strain.

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From Polycrisis to Polysolutions: An Interdisciplinary Approach to Complex Global Challenges

This PolyCIVIS Foundational Brief explores the complexities of the polycrisis, examining the human dimension and focusing on governance, economic systems, and public trust. It analyzes the politics of framing the polycrisis and how existing governance structures can inadvertently contribute to its intricacy. It emphasizes the need for long-term, systemic solutions over short-term measures and advocates

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The Horizon 2045 Foresight Radar

The Horizon 2045 Foresight Radar is an interactive tool for exploring pivotal issues and drivers of change shaping human and planetary security. The radar offers a comprehensive collection of more than 500 signals of change, three divergent scenarios for the world in 2045, and seven stories of deep change about shifting mental models.

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The New International Economic Order

Noting that “This is not our first polycrisis”, the authors point out that actors in the Global South proposed a “New International Economic Order (NIEO)” to deal with the polycrisis of the 1970s by addressing food shortages, international debt, control over natural resources, and technology transfers. While the original NIEO failed, Progressive International has launched

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Reducing Global Catastrophic Biological Risks

This guide defines global catastrophic biological risks (GCBRs) as “risks that threaten great worldwide damage to human welfare, and place the long-term trajectory of humankind in jeopardy… [and are] broadly biological in nature”. The author then analyzes historical, current, and potential biological risks (e.g., The Black Death, horsepox, etc.) and argues that some historical biological

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