News Article Archives

Governing Environmental Risk in an Era of Geopolitical Instability

This article argues that environmental change is now an immediate driver of geopolitical instability and market disruption, not just a long-term risk. It highlights how climate change and nature loss interact with geopolitical rivalry, supply chain fragility, and financial risk, creating reinforcing feedback loops that are often overlooked due to siloed approaches to risk assessment […]

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How Do We Navigate Asia-Pacific’s Climate-Cyber Polycrisis?

The author argues that a new polycrisis is emerging at the intersection of climate change and cybersecurity, as extreme weather, natural disasters, and cyberattacks increasingly occur simultaneously and amplify one another. Focusing on Asia and the Pacific, the article shows how climate-driven disruptions to critical infrastructure create openings for cybercrime, particularly during moments of emergency

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Four Global Risk Trends Likely to Shape the Planet through 2030

This article argues that the most consequential risks of the coming years will emerge not from individual crises but from their interaction, eroding trust and fragmenting systems. It identifies four risk trends likely to shape the path to 2030: the emergence of an increasingly polycentric world as US global leadership becomes more selective; a deepening

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America’s Polycrisis Has Arrived

The author argues that the United States is experiencing a polycrisis, a convergence of simultaneous, mutually reinforcing crises spanning foreign policy, the rule of law, civil rights, constitutional governance, the environment, healthcare, the military, and the economy. The author maintains that this multi-crisis dynamic leaves the U.S. vulnerable to extreme hardship and governmental collapse, and

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Peace Studies and International Relations in an Age of Polycrisis

The author contends that the 2026 Doomsday Clock setting reflects a polycrisis. Arguing that traditional frameworks in International Relations are inadequate for addressing the political, ethical, and structural dimensions of this moment, the article calls for re-centering peace as a foundational concern. Rather than viewing peace merely as the absence of conflict, the author draws

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We Are Living in a Time of Polycrisis. If You Feel Trapped – You’re Not Alone

The author explores the psychological toll of living through a polycrisis, characterised by the convergence of multiple, compounding global threats. Drawing on insights from psychologists and anthropologists, the article examines how radical uncertainty erodes individuals’ capacity to envision the future, resulting in paralysis, disconnection, and diminished long-term planning. The piece concludes by outlining strategies for

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‘History will tell’: as US pressure grows, Cuba edges closer to collapse amid mass exodus

The author examines Cuba’s ongoing polycrisis, characterized by the convergence of economic collapse, demographic decline, social fragmentation, and political repression. Mass emigration is accelerating population loss and weakening public institutions, while economic contraction across nearly all sectors has deepened inequality and eroded the foundations of Cuba’s once-renowned healthcare and education systems. Despite widespread disillusionment, internal

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Polycrisis: What’s Next For Humanity In The Age Of Acceleration?

Robert B. Tucker reflects on the unprecedented uncertainty shaping humanity’s future in the era of polycrisis. From the war in Ukraine and the accelerating impacts of climate change to job displacement driven by AI and automation, Tucker illustrates how today’s challenges are increasingly interconnected. He cites recent events like the 2024 CrowdStrike outage as examples

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The World Lost the Climate Gamble. Now it Faces a Dangerous New Reality

The authors reflect on the decade since the 2015 Paris Agreement and conclude that humanity has failed to avert dangerous climate change, with global warming set to exceed 1.5°C and enter an overshoot phase within years. This escalation increases the frequency and severity of extreme events and risks triggering tipping points in major Earth systems

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