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Impact 2024: How Donald Trump’s Reelection Could Amplify Global Inter-systemic Risk

The November 2024 federal election in the United States could mark an abrupt inflection point not only in the evolution of the American polity but also in the direction of global society. In this report, the Cascade Institute’s Polycrisis research team examines possible global systemic impacts of a second Trump presidency and maps the ways […]

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Loneliness in Times of Global Polycrises

The authors argue that polycrises “are associated with enormous psychological stress, especially for vulnerable groups”, in part because they impair social interaction. The resulting loneliness then affects people’s behaviors within a polycrisis by: increasing mental and physical morbidity and mortality, increasing negative cognitive bias, decreasing social engagement, lowering voter turnout, and by bringing other latent

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World Polycrisis Hangs on US Politics

Hugo Dixon proposes that the “future of Ukraine, world trade, climate change, and relations between superpowers the United States and China depends to a great extent on whether Trump wins November’s election.” He fears a re-elected Trump would hand Russia a victory in Ukraine, create havoc in world trade with radical protectionist measures, and actively

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A Logic for the Future: International Relations in the Age of Turbulence

Stephen Heintz explores the origins and development of the logic that shapes today’s international relations system, proposing a revised approach for the future. He applies this new logic to the current global political landscape and suggests changes to international institutions and mechanisms to better address the challenges of the 21st century.

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Polycrisis in the Anthropocene as a Key Research Agenda for Geography: Ontological Delineation and the Shift to a Postdisciplinary Approach

Motivated by a desire to strengthen the social relevance of geography in the quest for global sustainability, Matlovic and Matlovicova discuss how the subdisciplines of geography and the rich heritage they present, as well as other related disciplines, can be integrated into the geographical study of polycrisis in the Anthropocene epoch. The authors identify polycrisis

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The Polycrisis: Behind The Buzzword

This article discusses the emergence of the word ‘polycrisis’ in 2023, noting its rise to prominence at the 53rd World Economic Forum Annual Meeting, and seeks to underscore the gravity behind it. Larchman provides a primer, in which she defines polycrisis, in part, as “a cluster of interconnected crises in which ‘the overall impact exceeds

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Prospects for the World Economy in the Polycrisis with Martin Wolf

In this video, Michael Hainsworth, host of the C.D. Howe Institute podcast, interviews Martin Wolf, Chief Economic Commentator at the Financial Times and host of the podcast “Saving Democratic Capitalism”, in advance of a talk that Wolf gave to the Institute. Hainsworth and Wolf discuss ongoing crises that factor into the ongoing Polycrisis—defined as “a

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