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Why Biden failed

Nate Silver reflects on Joe Biden’s presidency, attributing its challenges to strategic missteps and the difficulty of managing a polycrisis—interconnected issues like the COVID pandemic, inflation, and climate change. He argues that overpromising solutions without clear prioritization shaped Biden’s presidency and paved the way for Donald Trump’s return to power.

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What is a Polycrisis and what is the Impact on Business Continuity Practitioners?

This article examines the concept of polycrisis, focusing on its key characteristics—feedback loops, blurred boundaries, and complex interconnections. It offers practical guidance for practitioners, highlighting the need for adaptive risk management, resilient response frameworks, and attention to the psychological impact of prolonged crises.

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Earth System Tipping Points are a threat to Europe

This report highlights the emerging security threat for Europe as global warming rapidly approaches 1.5°C, increasing the systemic risks of crossing multiple Earth System Tipping Points (ESTPs). It emphasizes that climate mitigation action is critical to avoid direct impacts on Europe, such as the collapse of Atlantic Ocean circulation, melting Arctic ice-sheets, and boreal permafrost

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Tourism in the Polycrisis: a Horizon 2050 Paper

This paper delves into the urgent need for the tourism sector to better understand and plan for the complex and interconnected global risks—collectively referred to as a polycrisis—that threaten its future. Drawing on the World Economic Forum’s Global Risk Reports, the authors present a foundational framework for incorporating environmental, economic, geopolitical, societal, and technological risks

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