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In this special edition podcast, Richard Matthews from Change Oracle and Tom Schuneman, owner of the Planet Watch Group and Editor of Global Warming Is Real, explore how systemic flaws, broken assumptions, and disinformation perpetuate inaction on critical issues. They examine feedback loops driving crises such as climate change, food insecurity, and the rise of […]
Introduction to Change Oracle’s Polycrisis Project Read More »
David Motadel explores the concept of historical inflection points, where major events irreversibly reshape societies. He argues that such turning points are often symptoms of deeper structural transformations and that addressing today’s crises requires understanding and resolving their root causes—a process that unfolds over decades rather than in singular, defining moments.
Are we at a turning point in world history? Read More »
The authors discuss the inadequacy of current policies in addressing interconnected crises like biodiversity loss, climate change, and pollution. Drawing on two IPBES assessment reports, they argue that while these reports offer effective policy options for transformative change, progress in implementing these solutions remains insufficient.
Nate Silver reflects on Joe Biden’s presidency, attributing its challenges to strategic missteps and the difficulty of managing a polycrisis—interconnected issues like the COVID pandemic, inflation, and climate change. He argues that overpromising solutions without clear prioritization shaped Biden’s presidency and paved the way for Donald Trump’s return to power.
This article examines the concept of polycrisis, focusing on its key characteristics—feedback loops, blurred boundaries, and complex interconnections. It offers practical guidance for practitioners, highlighting the need for adaptive risk management, resilient response frameworks, and attention to the psychological impact of prolonged crises.
What is a Polycrisis and what is the Impact on Business Continuity Practitioners? Read More »
Greta Groß explores how the ongoing polycrisis fuels public anxiety and drives governments into short-term responses. She argues that democratic resilience requires positive, future-oriented narratives to counter populist nostalgia and uncertainty. The author calls for strategic communication to restore trust and guide societies through contemporary crises.
Why Governments Should Offer Hope for the Future Read More »
This report highlights the emerging security threat for Europe as global warming rapidly approaches 1.5°C, increasing the systemic risks of crossing multiple Earth System Tipping Points (ESTPs). It emphasizes that climate mitigation action is critical to avoid direct impacts on Europe, such as the collapse of Atlantic Ocean circulation, melting Arctic ice-sheets, and boreal permafrost
Earth System Tipping Points are a threat to Europe Read More »
The authors examine the impact of the polycrisis on the global SDG Index by assessing the progress of countries worldwide in achieving SDG targets before and after the COVID period. Analyzing five SDGs (poverty, hunger, education, gender equality, and health), they find persistent setbacks post-COVID, delaying targets across all income groups.
Tracking SDG Achievements in the Age of Polycrisis Read More »
The authors explore the complexities of the Syrian revolution within the broader context of the global polycrisis, emphasizing the interconnected social, political, and environmental factors that fueled its trajectory.
How the Syrian Revolution Started Over 14 Years Ago – and Why It isn’t Really Over Yet Read More »
This paper delves into the urgent need for the tourism sector to better understand and plan for the complex and interconnected global risks—collectively referred to as a polycrisis—that threaten its future. Drawing on the World Economic Forum’s Global Risk Reports, the authors present a foundational framework for incorporating environmental, economic, geopolitical, societal, and technological risks
Tourism in the Polycrisis: a Horizon 2050 Paper Read More »
