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A global ‘polycrisis’ is looming, sparked by China, Taiwan and AI, say these researchers

This article discusses how the global race for artificial intelligence supremacy could spark a polycrisis by 2027, as geopolitical, technological, and economic tensions converge. It argues that control over Taiwan’s semiconductor industry is a central point of dispute between the United States and China, warning that efforts to secure dominance in AI and chip production […]

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The Steepness of the Slope

The author examines the mathematical and systemic nature of civilizational collapse, tracing how societies both ancient and modern follow what he calls the “Seneca Cliff”: a slow ascent of growth and complexity followed by a rapid, self-reinforcing decline. Drawing on complexity theory, systems dynamics, and historical examples such as the Roman Empire, the Maya, and

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How and when will our civilization die?

The author examines the trajectory of global capitalist civilization through the lens of systemic collapse, drawing on historical analogies, ecological constraints, and geopolitical scenarios. He argues against binary scenarios of either total cooperation or complete breakdown, proposing instead that collapse is a complex and multidimensional process. The article highlights how capitalism’s internal contradictions, ecological overshoot,

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What are the Risks of a Fragmented World?

In this episode of The Call, economist Gita Gopinath joins host Jay Sapsford to explore the growing challenges posed by global fragmentation. As geopolitical tensions escalate, trade disputes intensify, and debt levels rise, the discussion examines how these dynamics threaten economic stability and international cooperation. Gopinath highlights the transformative impact of artificial intelligence on productivity

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The Perfect Storm: How Intertwined Crises are Reshaping Global Food Security and Commodity Markets

The article examines how cascading crises during 2024 and 2025, including climate extremes, geopolitical conflicts, and economic pressures, have disrupted global agricultural supply chains. These disruptions have led to rising food prices, supply shortages, and increased food insecurity. The analysis identifies winners and losers among public companies, noting that those investing in sustainability, technology, and

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The Polycrisis Demands a Renewed Humanism

In this article, Edgar Morin and Claudio Pedretti revisit the concept of polycrisis, arguing that what Morin first introduced in 1999 as a warning has now become our lived reality: a convergence of ecological, political, economic, technological, and existential crises that reinforce one another in cascading, non-linear ways. They show how climate change, inequality, nationalism,

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Global Health at a Crossroads: WHO’s 2025 Emergency Response to Outbreaks, Conflicts and Humanitarian Crises

The author examines how 2025 has become a pivotal year for global health, marked by converging crises such as conflict, disease outbreaks, climate shocks, and displacement that are impacting fragile health systems and exposing deep structural inequities. In response, the WHO’s $1.5 billion Health Emergency Appeal underscores the urgency of coordinated, resilient action, emphasizing mobile

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Insurance in the Polycrisis

In this Phenomenal World analysis, Kate Mackenzie and Tim Sahay examine how climate-driven disasters are destabilizing the global insurance industry and, by extension, financial and housing markets. They warn of a looming “doom loop” in which rising floods, fires, and storms render properties uninsurable, leading to unmortgageable homes, collapsing housing markets, and systemic economic strain.

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Polycrisis — is this the sequel?

In this article, Adam Tooze revisits the concept of “polycrisis,” noting that while the term remains relevant in certain regional and institutional contexts, it appears less applicable as a descriptor of 2025 landscape. He contrasts the intense disruptions of 2020–2022 with the current relative calm in financial markets, despite ongoing geopolitical tensions. Tooze suggests that

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We’re Surrounded by Crises. What’s Stopping Us from Acting?

Michel Rauchs examines the interlinked environmental, economic, and social crises confronting contemporary society, arguing that these challenges constitute a broader metacrisis rooted in systemic flaws of our dominant institutions and growth-driven economic models. While traditional state and market responses have largely failed to address these issues holistically, Rauchs suggests that widespread disillusionment may signal a

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