Learning resource

A Dangerous Confluence: The Intertwined Crises of Disinformation and Democracies

The authors explore the significant impact of disinformation on elections, emphasizing its potential to undermine democratic processes. Through case studies from Hungary, the United States, and the United Kingdom, they analyze how disinformation spreads, the conditions that facilitate its dissemination, and its detrimental effects on the health of democracies. The report delves into the historical […]

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“Planetary Phase Shift” as a New Systems Framework to Navigate the Evolutionary Transformation of Human Civilisation

This paper addresses a gap in foresight studies by proposing a new framework, “collective forward intelligence,” to analyze trends across ecological, social, political, and economic systems. It develops planetary phase shift theory, suggesting that humanity is at a critical turning point, with global crises signalling industrial civilization’s potential collapse or transformation.

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Polycrisis: A Framework for Understanding Multiple Crises in the Metacoupled World

The authors propose a Polycrisis framework combined with the meta-coupling framework to understand and assess the interdependence of multiple global crises in an interactive world. They apply this framework to Germany and China and discuss the policy implications for managing these crises, offering insights for future management strategies at both national and global levels.

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The Spectrum of (Poly)Crisis: Exploring Polycrises of the Past to Better Understand our Current and Future Risks

The authors explore the concept of polycrises by examining historical examples from late 1st-millennium CE Mesoamerica, Late Medieval Eurasia, and the Early Modern Northern Hemisphere to illustrate how these periods exhibited key characteristics of a polycrisis. They argue that studying historical polycrises can enhance our understanding of contemporary challenges and inform the development of strategies

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Facing Global Risks with Honest Hope: Transforming Multidimensional Challenges into Multidimensional Possibilities

This report examines the complexities of a global polycrisis, highlighting the interconnected nature of environmental, economic, and social risks. It emphasizes the urgent need for systemic risk assessment and response. Key recommendations focus on fostering public engagement, redirecting financial resources, and advancing education and research to build resilience.

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When one crisis comes after another: successive shocks, food insecurity, and coastal precarity in the Philippines

The authors examine the layering and succession of social and environmental crises—including a catastrophic typhoon, the COVID-19 pandemic, and economic inflation—and their impacts on food security in Capiz, Philippines. The authors investigate how these crises manifest in poor coastal communities and how vulnerable populations navigate such challenges.

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