All Crises are Unhappy in Their Own Way: The Role of Societal Instability in Shaping the Past

9[1]

This article introduces the Crisis Database, a comprehensive resource that systematically documents 168 historical societal crises across different time periods, regions, and levels of complexity. Aiming to overcome small-sample bias in previous studies, the database captures a wide range of political, economic, cultural, and institutional factors associated with crises, as well as their consequences—such as warfare, epidemics, or reforms. Through exploratory analyses, the authors find that the outcomes of crises are highly variable and largely uncorrelated, suggesting there is no “typical” pattern of societal crisis. The study emphasizes the need for interdisciplinary approaches to better understand the diverse trajectories and drivers of crisis dynamics throughout history.

Author(s)

Daniel Hoyer, Samantha Holder, James S. Bennett, Pieter Francois, Harvey Whitehouse, R. Alan Covey, Gary Feinman, Andrey Korotayev, Vadim Ustyuzhanin, Johannes Preiser-Kapeller, Kathryn Bard, Jill Levine, Jenny Reddish, Georg Orlandi, Rachel Ainsworth and Peter Turchin.

Publication Date

29 December 2025

Publisher

Social Science History

DOI / URL

9[1]

Resource Type

Academic Journal Article

Systems Addressed

Social Order and Governance

Resource Theme

Learning resource
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