A Systemic Risk Assessment Methodological Framework for the Global Polycrisis

8

The paper examines two historical global food–energy crises, highlighting the limitations of traditional risk management approaches in addressing today’s complex and interconnected global risks. The authors propose a methodological framework for assessing systemic risks in a global polycrisis context, which includes exploring system architectures, considering transformational responses away from risks, and applying cross-cutting practices. They argue that a standardised yet modular and flexible procedure could be critical for preparing for, adapting to, and mitigating future systemic crises, while enabling a transition to a future where such crises are less likely and less severe.

Author(s)

Ajay Gambhir, Michael J. Albert, Sylvanus S. P. Doe, Jonathan F. Donges, Nadim Farajalla, Leandro L. Giatti, Haripriya Gundimeda, Sarah Hendel-Blackford, Thomas Homer-Dixon, Daniel Hoyer, Sumaya Adan, David Jacome-Polit, Luke Kemp, David Korowicz, Zora Kovacic, Jan Kwakkel, Laurie Laybourn, Robert Lempert, Ayan Mahamoud, Tom H. Oliver, Ivana E. Pavkova, Joseph Ponnoly, Vishwas Satgar, Megan Shipman, Jana Sillmann, Nick Silver, Samuel Stevenson & Ruth Richardson

Publication Date

14 August 2025

Publisher

nature

DOI / URL

8

Resource Type

Academic Journal Article

Systems Addressed

Energy • Food

Resource Theme

Catastrophic and Existential Risk • Learning resource • Theory Building

Uses the term polycrisis

Scroll to Top