In the Cascading Risks Study, author Trond Undheim seeks to create five scenarios (Climate cataclysm by 2075; World war by 2075; Growth and collapse by 2075; Runaway AI by 2075; and Synthetic biology released in ...

The November 2024 federal election in the United States could mark an abrupt inflection point not only in the evolution of the American polity but also in the direction of global society. In this report, ...

The authors argue that polycrises "are associated with enormous psychological stress, especially for vulnerable groups", in part because they impair social interaction. The resulting loneliness then affects people's behaviors within a polycrisis by: increasing mental ...

The authors argue that instead of seeing the polycrisis as a failure of multilateralism, analysis should focus on the ways in which multilateralism is adapting, and how it could better adapt, to intersecting global challenges. ...

The authors argue that inadequate national and global level data prevent us from understanding the complex interactions of the polycrisis and achieving the Sustainable Development Goals. They propose that applied systems thinking can address this ...

Michael Quinn Patton argues that good public policy evaluation is crucial for addressing the global polycrisis, but requires an informed citizenry. It is thus presently "engaged in a battle against misinformation, politicized knowledge, irrational decision-making, ...

This Roadmap, a collaboration between the Cascade Institute, the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, the Research Institute for Sustainability – Helmholtz Centre Potsdam, and the Centre for the Study of Existential Risk, presents a plan to advance polycrisis analysis ...

Ruth Richardson, the Executive Director of the Accelerator for Systemic Risk Assessment, argues that the "escalating global polycrisis demands an urgent and transformative shift in how we assess, anticipate, and mitigate systemic risks." She then ...

Hugo Dixon proposes that the "future of Ukraine, world trade, climate change, and relations between superpowers the United States and China depends to a great extent on whether Trump wins November’s election." He fears a ...